MLB picks today: Monday's MLB best bets include Athletics vs. Diamondbacks play [7/20/2026]

Athletics vs. Diamondbacks Over 9.5 runs (+113)

• Edge: 9.2%
• Probability: 56.2%
• Matchup: Athletics vs. Diamondbacks (9:40PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Over 9.5 runs in Athletics vs. Diamondbacks at +113 odds. A 56.2% probability produces an edge of 9.2%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.

White Sox vs. Rangers Over 7.5 runs (-111)

• Edge: 7.7%
• Probability: 60.3%
• Matchup: White Sox vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)

White Sox vs. Rangers over 7.5 runs carries a 7.7% edge and a probability of 60.3% at -111 odds, according to our model.

Nationals vs. Rockies Over 11.5 runs (-113)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 59.1%
• Matchup: Nationals vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)

Nationals vs. Rockies Over 11.5 runs at -113 odds shows a 6.0% edge, supported by a 59.1% probability in simulations.

Mets ML (+194)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 40%
• Matchup: Mets vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET)

A 6.0% edge and 40% probability makes Mets at the moneyline a value play in the Mets vs. Brewers matchup, per our model.

Mets +1.5 (+104)

• Edge: 5.8%
• Probability: 54.8%
• Matchup: Mets vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET)

Mets +1.5 at +104 odds presents a 5.8% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 54.8%.

Marlins vs. Astros Over 8.5 runs (-115)

• Edge: 5.8%
• Probability: 59.3%
• Matchup: Marlins vs. Astros (8:10PM ET)

Our model finds value on Over 8.5 runs in Marlins vs. Astros at -115 odds, supported by an edge of 5.8%.

Mets vs. Brewers Over 7.5 runs (-108)

• Edge: 5.7%
• Probability: 57.7%
• Matchup: Mets vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Mets vs. Brewers Over 7.5 runs at -108 odds. A 57.7% probability produces a 5.7% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.

Astros -1.5 (+178)

• Edge: 4.9%
• Probability: 40.9%
• Matchup: Marlins vs. Astros (8:10PM ET)

A 4.9% edge on a 40.9% probability makes Astros -1.5 at +178 odds a solid value play in today's Marlins vs. Astros matchup.

Astros ML (-113)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 57.6%
• Matchup: Marlins vs. Astros (8:10PM ET)

Our model projects value on Astros to win at -113 odds. A 57.6% probability produces a 4.5% edge, making Astros the favorable ML play in today's matchup.

Giants vs. Royals Over 10 runs (-107)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 56%
• Matchup: Giants vs. Royals (7:40PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Giants vs. Royals Over 10 runs at -107 odds shows a 56% probability and a 4.3% edge.

MLB best bets summary: Monday, 7/20/2026

As of 7:09PM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [7/20/2026]

• Dodgers vs. Phillies (7:10PM ET, Monday)
• Orioles vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET, Monday)
• Padres vs. Braves (7:15PM ET, Monday)
• Mets vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET, Monday)
• Giants vs. Royals (7:40PM ET, Monday)
• White Sox vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET, Monday)
• Tigers vs. Cubs (8:05PM ET, Monday)
• Marlins vs. Astros (8:10PM ET, Monday)
• Nationals vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET, Monday)
• Reds vs. Mariners (9:40PM ET, Monday)
• Athletics vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET, Monday)
• Cardinals vs. Angels (10:10PM ET, Monday)
• Dodgers vs. Phillies (6:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Pirates vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET, Tuesday)
• Rays vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET, Tuesday)

Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for July 20, 2026, featuring plays such as over 9.5 runs in the Athletics vs. Diamondbacks matchup and over 7.5 runs in the White Sox vs. Rangers matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.