Get Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs predictions for NBA Playoffs Tuesday.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. San Antonio Spurs NBA prediction for Game 5 of the series.
The San Antonio Spurs will take on the Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 5 of their 2026 NBA Playoffs series at Frost Bank Center on Tuesday, beginning at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Spurs as the most likely winner of the Timberwolves vs. Spurs Game 5 matchup.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Spurs lineup will feature players like Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle and De'Aaron Fox, while the Timberwolves will be led by Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle and Jaden McDaniels.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Wolves vs. Spurs prediction: Who will win Game 5?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NBA Playoffs game between the Timberwolves and Spurs, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Spurs an 81% chance of defeating the Timberwolves in Game 5 of the series. Our predicted final score has the Spurs winning 114-104.
According to our model, the Spurs (-10.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 218.5 points has a 51% chance of going over.
Timberwolves vs. Spurs Game 5 odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Bet Type
Timberwolves
Spurs
Spread
+10.5 (-115)
-10.5 (-105)
Moneyline
+325
-400
Total
o218.5 (-108)
u218.5 (-108)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Timberwolves vs. Spurs picks and best bet for Game 5
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
According to our NBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Spurs to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Timberwolves vs. Spurs Game 5 player props
NBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on Tuesday's Minnesota vs. San Antonio game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Frost Bank Center.
Anthony Edwards is expected to lead the Timberwolves with 29 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists, while Victor Wembanyama is projected to have 28 points, 13 rebounds and 3 assists for the Spurs.
Anthony Edwards is projected to score 29 points tonight.
The NBA Playoffs is an annual elimination tournament held to decide the league's champion.
Sixteen teams, including the Timberwolves and Spurs, reached the NBA Playoffs 2026, which spans four rounds: the First Round, Conference Semifinals, Conference Finals, and NBA Finals.
Each round of the NBA Playoffs is played as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins progressing to the next round until a champion is crowned.
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Conclusion
We predict the Spurs, with an 81% win probability, will likely beat the Timberwolves in Tuesday's NBA playoffs matchup.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
