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Mattia Bellucci vs. Martin Landaluce prediction, odds, picks for ATP Italian Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Bellucci vs Landaluce predictions for ATP Italian Open.
Mattia Bellucci will take on Martin Landaluce in the round of 32 at the ATP Rome event on Monday.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Mattia Bellucci as the most likely winner of the Bellucci vs. Landaluce match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's match, including best bets and picks.
Bellucci vs. Landaluce prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's Bellucci-Landaluce men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Bellucci a 52% chance of winning against Landaluce at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additionally, Bellucci has a 52% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Landaluce (+1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the **over/under of 22.5 games has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting, according to our model.
Mattia Bellucci vs. Martin Landaluce odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Bellucci | Landaluce |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -114 | +100 |
| First Set | -111 | -111 |
| Game Spread | -1.5 (-110) | +1.5 (-150) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-120) | u22.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Bellucci vs. Landaluce picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bellucci | -114 |
| First Set | Landaluce | -110 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 22.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Bellucci vs. Landaluce updates and essential details
The ATP Italian Open match between Mattia Bellucci and Martin Landaluce is scheduled to start on Monday at 5:00 AM ET.
- Who: Mattia Bellucci vs. Martin Landaluce
- Date: Monday, May 11, 2026
- Approx. Time: 5:00 AM ET/2:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Rome, Italy Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 32
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Mattia Bellucci, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat Martin Landaluce at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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