Matteo Arnaldi vs. Raphael Collignon prediction, odds, picks for French Open 2026

Matteo Arnaldi will face Raphael Collignon in the third round of the French Open Men's Singles 2026 on Saturday.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Raphael Collignon as the most likely winner of the Arnaldi vs. Collignon match.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Arnaldi vs. Collignon prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Arnaldi-Collignon men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Collignon a 65% chance of winning against Arnaldi in the French Open 2026.

Additionally, Collignon has a 61% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Arnaldi (+4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 37.5 games has a 52% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Matteo Arnaldi vs. Raphael Collignon odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Arnaldi	Collignon
Moneyline	+172	-205
First Set	+137	-175
Game Spread	+4.5 (-145)	-4.5 (-110)
Total Games	o37.5 (-115)	u37.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Arnaldi vs. Collignon picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Moneyline	Arnaldi	+172
First Set	Collignon	-110

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Matteo Arnaldi to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Arnaldi vs. Collignon updates and essential details

The French Open 2026 match between Matteo Arnaldi and Raphael Collignon is scheduled to begin on Saturday at 10:40 AM ET.

• Who: Matteo Arnaldi vs. Raphael Collignon
• Date: Saturday, May 30, 2026
• Approx. Time: 10:40 AM ET/7:40AM PT
• Tournament: French Open Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Third round

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Raphael Collignon, with a 65% win probability, will likely beat Matteo Arnaldi at the French Open 2026.

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