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Manchester United vs. Newcastle prediction, odds, Premier League picks [12/26/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Manchester United vs Newcastle predictions for Premier League Friday.
Manchester United will square off with Newcastle in Premier League action at Old Trafford on Friday, commencing at 3:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven Premier League model projects Manchester United as the most likely winner of the Manchester United vs. Newcastle game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Manchester United vs. Newcastle prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's Premier League match between Manchester United and Newcastle 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model indicates a 40.9% chance of Manchester United winning, a 34.7% chance for Newcastle, and a 24.4% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 57% chance of going over, according to our model.
Manchester United vs. Newcastle odds
We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Manchester United | Newcastle | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +155 | +165 | +265 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -160 | +132 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Manchester United vs. Newcastle picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Manchester United | +155 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +132 |
According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Manchester United to win.
Manchester United vs. Newcastle: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| MUN 1-1 NEW | 11.3% |
| MUN 2-1 NEW | 8.8% |
| MUN 1-2 NEW | 8% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 59.6% chance of the yes hitting, and a 40.4% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Manchester United vs. Newcastle game-day updates and essential details
Friday's Premier League matchup between Manchester United and Newcastle at Old Trafford is scheduled to commence in the USA at 3:00 PM ET.
- Who: Manchester United vs. Newcastle
- Date: Friday, December 26, 2025
- Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: Old Trafford
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Manchester United has a 40.9% win probability on Friday, Newcastle has a 34.7% win probability, and there is a 24.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Manchester United vs. Newcastle insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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