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Manchester United vs. Leeds prediction, odds, Premier League picks [4/13/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Manchester United vs Leeds predictions for Premier League Monday.
Manchester United and Leeds will lock horns in the Premier League at Old Trafford on Monday, starting at 3:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven Premier League model predicts Manchester United as the most likely winner of the Manchester United vs. Leeds game.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's match, including best bets and picks.
Manchester United vs. Leeds prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's Premier League match between Manchester United and Leeds, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 56.7% chance of Manchester United winning, a 20.9% chance for Leeds, and a 22.4% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 56% chance of going over, according to our model.
Manchester United vs. Leeds odds
We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Manchester United | Leeds | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -160 | +450 | +320 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -138 | +110 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Manchester United vs. Leeds picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Leeds | +450 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -138 |
According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Leeds to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Manchester United vs. Leeds: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| MUN 1-1 Leeds | 10.6% |
| MUN 1-0 Leeds | 10.1% |
| MUN 2-1 Leeds | 9.9% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 54.9% chance of both sides finding the net and a 45.1% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Manchester United vs. Leeds game-day updates and essential details
Monday's Premier League game between Manchester United and Leeds at Old Trafford is scheduled to start in the United States at 3:00 PM ET.
- Who: Manchester United vs. Leeds
- Date: Monday, April 13, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: Old Trafford
World Cup 2026 watch: Brenden Aaronson (USA)
Leeds United midfielder Brenden Aaronson is firmly on the radar for USMNT fans this season as interest ramps up ahead of the FIFA World Cup 2026, with rising interest in World Cup predictions and early conversation about who will win the World Cup. With the United States drawn against Australia, Paraguay, and one of Türkiye, Romania, Slovakia, or Kosovo in Group D next year, Aaronson's Premier League form will be watched closely.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Manchester United has a 56.7% win probability on Monday, Leeds has a 20.9% win probability, and there is a 22.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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