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Manchester City vs. Liverpool prediction, odds, Premier League picks [11/9/2025]

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Written by Nick Slade

Get Manchester City vs Liverpool predictions for Premier League Sunday.

Manchester City-Liverpool Predictions and Game Preview.
Manchester City vs. Liverpool Premier League prediction for Sunday, November 9, 2025.

Manchester City and Liverpool will lock horns in the Premier League at Etihad Stadium on Sunday, starting at 11:30AM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven Premier League model projects Manchester City as the most likely winner of the Manchester City vs. Liverpool game.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Manchester City vs. Liverpool prediction: Who will win?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Premier League match between Manchester City and Liverpool 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently indicates a 50.1% chance of Manchester City winning, a 28.0% chance for Liverpool, and a 21.9% chance of a draw.

 

Manchester City vs. Liverpool odds

We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Market Manchester City Liverpool Draw
Moneyline -105 +270 +290

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Manchester City vs. Liverpool picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Moneyline Liverpool +270

According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Liverpool to win.

 

Manchester City vs. Liverpool: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score Probability
MCI 1-1 LIV 9.5%
MCI 2-1 LIV 9.3%
MCI 1-2 LIV 6.7%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 65.2% chance that both teams scoring, and a 34.8% probability of at least one team being held goalless.

These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Manchester City vs. Liverpool game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's Premier League action between Manchester City and Liverpool at Etihad Stadium is scheduled to commence in the USA at 11:30AM ET.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Manchester City has a 50.1% win probability on Sunday, Liverpool has a 28.0% win probability, and there is a 21.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Manchester City vs. Liverpool insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on Premier League

Stay up-to-date with the latest Premier League betting news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Premier League futures odds offer the most accurate predictions for the Premier League title.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

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Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.

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