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Manchester City vs. Liverpool prediction, odds, Premier League picks [11/9/2025]
Get Manchester City vs Liverpool predictions for Premier League Sunday.

Manchester City and Liverpool will lock horns in the Premier League at Etihad Stadium on Sunday, starting at 11:30AM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven Premier League model projects Manchester City as the most likely winner of the Manchester City vs. Liverpool game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Manchester City vs. Liverpool prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Premier League match between Manchester City and Liverpool 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently indicates a 50.1% chance of Manchester City winning, a 28.0% chance for Liverpool, and a 21.9% chance of a draw.
Manchester City vs. Liverpool odds
We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Market | Manchester City | Liverpool | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -105 | +270 | +290 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Manchester City vs. Liverpool picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Liverpool | +270 |
According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Liverpool to win.
Manchester City vs. Liverpool: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| MCI 1-1 LIV | 9.5% |
| MCI 2-1 LIV | 9.3% |
| MCI 1-2 LIV | 6.7% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 65.2% chance that both teams scoring, and a 34.8% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Manchester City vs. Liverpool game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's Premier League action between Manchester City and Liverpool at Etihad Stadium is scheduled to commence in the USA at 11:30AM ET.
- Who: Manchester City vs. Liverpool
- Date: Sunday, November 9, 2025
- Time: 11:30AM ET/8:30AM PT
- Venue: Etihad Stadium
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Conclusion
According to our computer model, Manchester City has a 50.1% win probability on Sunday, Liverpool has a 28.0% win probability, and there is a 21.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Manchester City vs. Liverpool insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on Premier League
Stay up-to-date with the latest Premier League betting news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Premier League futures odds offer the most accurate predictions for the Premier League title.
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