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Kings vs. Avalanche prediction: Why Colorado is favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [4/21/2026]
Get Los Angeles Kings vs Colorado Avalanche predictions for NHL Tuesday.

The Colorado Avalanche and Los Angeles Kings will meet in the NHL Playoffs at Ball Arena on Tuesday, starting at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model predicts the Avalanche as the most likely winner of the Kings vs. Avalanche game.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Kings vs. Avs prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NHL Playoffs game between the Kings and Avalanche, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Avalanche a 67% chance of beating the Kings.
According to our model, the Kings (+1.5) have a 55% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has a 52% chance of going over.
Kings vs. Avalanche odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Kings | Avalanche |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-110) | -1.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +240 | -270 |
| Total | o5.5 (+102) | u5.5 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Kings vs. Avalanche picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Kings +1.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Kings | +240 |
| Total | Over 5.5 | +102 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Kings to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Kings vs. Avalanche player props
Who will score a goal in Kings vs. Avalanche?
According to our model, Martin Necas is most likely to score an anytime goal in Kings vs. Avalanche.
Our projections give Necas a 35.0% chance of scoring a goal at Ball Arena, while the star is a 7.3% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Los Angeles Kings
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Adrian Kempe | 31.1% |
| Artemi Panarin | 29.4% |
| Quinton Byfield | 26.9% |
| Alex Laferriere | 23.3% |
| Trevor Moore | 19.1% |
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Martin Necas | 35.0% |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 33.7% |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 27.4% |
| Artturi Lehkonen | 25.9% |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 25.1% |
First goal scorer predictions
Los Angeles Kings
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Adrian Kempe | 6.2% |
| Artemi Panarin | 5.5% |
| Quinton Byfield | 5.2% |
| Alex Laferriere | 4.4% |
| Trevor Moore | 3.6% |
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Martin Necas | 7.3% |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 7.2% |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 5.7% |
| Artturi Lehkonen | 5.5% |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 5.1% |
Kings vs. Avs game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's matchup between the Avalanche and Kings in the Stanley Cup Playoffs is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Kings vs. Colorado Avalanche
- Date: Tuesday, April 21, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Ball Arena
The Stanley Cup Playoffs is an elimination tournament in the NHL to decide the winner of the Stanley Cup.
A total of 16 teams, including the Kings and Avalanche, made the 2026 NHL Playoffs, which consists of four rounds: the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.
Each round of the NHL Playoffs is played as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins advancing to the next round until a champion is crowned.
Conclusion
We predict the Avalanche, with a 67% win probability, will likely beat the Kings in Tuesday's NHL matchup.
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