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Kings vs. Avalanche prediction: Why Colorado is favored to win Sunday's NHL matchup [4/19/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Los Angeles Kings vs Colorado Avalanche predictions for NHL Sunday.
NHL action continues on Sunday at 3:00 PM ET as the Los Angeles Kings lock horns with the Colorado Avalanche in the 2026 Stanley Cup Playoffs at Ball Arena.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Avalanche as the most likely winner of the Kings vs. Avalanche game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Kings vs. Avs prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NHL Playoffs matchup between the Kings and Avalanche, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Avalanche a 68% chance of defeating the Kings.
According to our model, the Kings (+1.5) have a 55% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 54% chance of going over.
Kings vs. Avalanche odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Kings | Avalanche |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (+102) | -1.5 (-112) |
| Moneyline | +240 | -275 |
| Total | o5.5 (+110) | u5.5 (+104) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Kings vs. Avalanche picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Kings +1.5 | +102 |
| Moneyline | Kings | +240 |
| Total | Over 5.5 | +110 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 5.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Kings vs. Avalanche player props
Who will score a goal in Kings vs. Avalanche?
According to our model, Nathan MacKinnon is most likely to score an anytime goal in Kings vs. Avalanche.
Our projections give MacKinnon a 35.6% chance of scoring a goal at Ball Arena, while the star is a 7.6% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Los Angeles Kings
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Adrian Kempe | 33.0% |
| Artemi Panarin | 30.1% |
| Quinton Byfield | 29.4% |
| Alex Laferriere | 25.4% |
| Trevor Moore | 21.1% |
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnon | 35.6% |
| Martin Necas | 34.7% |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 26.9% |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 26.6% |
| Artturi Lehkonen | 24.0% |
First goal scorer predictions
Los Angeles Kings
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Adrian Kempe | 6.2% |
| Artemi Panarin | 6.2% |
| Quinton Byfield | 5.6% |
| Alex Laferriere | 4.9% |
| Trevor Moore | 4.2% |
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnon | 7.6% |
| Martin Necas | 7.4% |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 5.2% |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 4.8% |
| Nazem Kadri | 4.7% |
Kings vs. Avs game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's action between the Avalanche and Kings in the Stanley Cup Playoffs is scheduled to begin at 3:00 PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Kings vs. Colorado Avalanche
- Date: Sunday, April 19, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: Ball Arena
The Stanley Cup Playoffs is an elimination tournament in the National Hockey League to decide the winner of the Stanley Cup.
Sixteen teams, including the Kings and Avalanche, made the NHL Playoffs 2026, which includes four rounds: the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.
Each round of the NHL Playoffs is played as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins moving on to the next round until a champion is crowned.
Conclusion
We predict the Avalanche, with a 68% win probability, will likely beat the Kings in Sunday's NHL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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