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Liverpool vs. Chelsea prediction, odds, Premier League picks [5/9/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Liverpool vs Chelsea predictions for Premier League Saturday.
Premier League action continues on Saturday at 7:30 AM ET as Chelsea squares off with Liverpool at Anfield.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven Premier League model projects Liverpool as the most likely winner of the Liverpool vs. Chelsea game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Liverpool vs. Chelsea prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Premier League match between Liverpool and Chelsea, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model indicates a 55.4% chance of Liverpool winning, a 24.1% chance for Chelsea, and a 20.5% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 69% chance of going over, according to our model.
Liverpool vs. Chelsea odds
We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Liverpool | Chelsea | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -120 | +290 | +300 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -225 | +175 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Liverpool vs. Chelsea picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Liverpool | -120 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -225 |
According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Liverpool to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Liverpool vs. Chelsea: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-1 Liverpool win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| LIV 2-1 CHE | 9.3% |
| LIV 1-1 CHE | 8.5% |
| LIV 3-1 CHE | 6.8% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 66.7% chance of both sides finding the net and a 33.3% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Liverpool vs. Chelsea game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Premier League action between Liverpool and Chelsea at Anfield is scheduled to start in the United States at 7:30 AM ET.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Liverpool has a 55.4% win probability on Saturday, Chelsea has a 24.1% win probability, and there is a 20.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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