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Lightning vs. Avalanche Game 5 Prediction - Jun 24, 2022

The Colorado Avalanche and Tampa Bay Lightning clash in Game 5 of the 2022 NHL Stanley Cup Final at Ball Arena on Friday, with puck drop at 8:00PM ET.

The Stanley Cup will be presented to the winner of the 2022 Stanley Cup Final between the Lightning and Avalanche. Colorado's Ball Arena hosts Game 5 of the best-of-seven series.

Dimers' free betting picks for Lightning vs. Avalanche, plus game predictions, best odds and player props, are featured in this article.


Who will win Lightning vs. Avalanche?

Based on state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Friday's Lightning-Avalanche NHL Stanley Cup Final matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' leading predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Avalanche a 60% chance of defeating the Lightning in Game 5 of the 2022 Stanley Cup Finals.

More: Lightning vs. Avalanche Game 5 Simulated 10,000 Times

Lightning vs. Avalanche Game 5 Odds

  • Puck Line: Avalanche -1.5 (+135), Lightning +1.5 (-146)
  • Moneyline: Avalanche -200, Lightning +175
  • Total: Over/Under 6 (-105/-114)

Puck Line, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Avalanche are currently -1.5 favorites against the Lightning, with +135 at BetMGM the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Lightning (+1.5) to cover the puck line, FanDuel Sportsbook has the best odds currently on the market at -146.

BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Avalanche at -200, which means you can risk $200 to win $100, for a total payout of $300, if they get the W.

On the other hand, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Lightning at +175, where you can bet $100 to profit $175, earning a total payout of $275, if they win.

The Over/Under sits at 6 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -105, while FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at -114.

As always, make sure you check all of the legal sportbooks available in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Lightning (+1.5) are a 62% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal Over/Under is a 51% chance of going Over.

More: Best Prop Bets Today

Best Bets for Lightning vs. Avalanche


Dimers' best bets are based on detailed simulations and betting expertise to bring you the best possible plays 24/7/365.

While the Avalanche are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Lightning moneyline is the best option because of the 3.4% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges seen on Dimers.com is crucial to achieving long-term profitability as a sports bettor.

Lightning vs. Avalanche Prediction

Use our interactive widget below to view the latest Moneyline, Over/Under and Puck Line probabilities and odds for Tampa Bay vs. Colorado, and click or tap on See Matchup for more.


Dimers has full coverage of Friday's Lightning-Avalanche matchup, including pregame predictions, computer picks, and live win probabilities.

Lightning vs. Avalanche Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Lightning vs. Avalanche? The latest data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first goal and most likely anytime goal scorers for both the Lightning and Avalanche.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you choose the best prop bets for Friday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Colorado's Nathan MacKinnon is most likely to score the first goal in Lightning vs. Avalanche.

DimersBOT gives MacKinnon a 7.1% chance of scoring the first goal at Ball Arena, while the Avalanche star is a 36.3% chance of netting an anytime goal.

Scroll down for our complete list of first and anytime goal scorer probabilities.


First Goal Scorer Prediction

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Nikita Kucherov: 7.0% probability
  • Steven Stamkos: 6.8% probability
  • Ondrej Palat: 4.7% probability
  • Ross Colton: 3.7% probability
  • Corey Perry: 3.1% probability

Colorado Avalanche

  • Nathan MacKinnon: 7.1% probability
  • Nazem Kadri: 6.5% probability
  • Gabriel Landeskog: 6.3% probability
  • Mikko Rantanen: 5.5% probability
  • Valeri Nichushkin: 4.6% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Prediction

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Steven Stamkos: 37.0% probability
  • Nikita Kucherov: 34.9% probability
  • Ondrej Palat: 24.7% probability
  • Ross Colton: 19.5% probability
  • Anthony Cirelli: 18.9% probability

Colorado Avalanche

  • Nathan MacKinnon: 36.3% probability
  • Gabriel Landeskog: 32.8% probability
  • Nazem Kadri: 32.6% probability
  • Mikko Rantanen: 30.5% probability
  • Valeri Nichushkin: 25.1% probability

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates frequently, so refresh this article for any changes to our betting insights before Game 5 of the Lightning vs. Avalanche series on Jun 24, 2022.


Bet $10, Win $200 if Lightning or Avalanche Score a Goal

BetMGM, the king of sportsbooks, is offering new users the opportunity to Bet $10, Win $200 if the Lightning or Avalanche score a goal on Friday.

That's right – bet 10 bucks and get 200 bucks in Free Bets if either team finds the back of the net. It's that simple.

To claim this offer, join BetMGM via this exclusive link, deposit $10+ and place, as your first real-money bet after opening your account, a single $10 pre-game, moneyline wager on Tampa Bay vs. Colorado.

If either team scores a goal, you'll get $200 in Free Bets from BetMGM. How good is that!

Note: When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

Lightning vs. Avalanche 2022 Game 5 Info

Friday's Game 5 between the Avalanche and Lightning in the 2022 Stanley Cup Finals is scheduled to commence at 8:00PM ET.

  • Who: Colorado Avalanche vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
  • Date: Friday June 24, 2022
  • Time: 8:00PM ET / 5:00PM PT
  • Venue: Ball Arena

Looking to join an online sportsbook and start betting on the NHL Playoffs today? We've got access to the best available sign-up offers for each legal betting state.

What other NHL games are on tonight?

Now you've got the 411 on Lightning vs. Avalanche, check out the latest betting predictions for all upcoming NHL games in our NHL Bet Hub, where you can find probabilities and odds, plus our best bets for each and every NHL matchup.

Want a pick for the Puck Line? You got it. How about the Over/Under? Yup, got that too. The Moneyline? Yes sir. And these picks are good, I mean REALLY good. Take a look now!

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