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Karen Khachanov vs. Botic Van de Zandschulp prediction, odds, picks for ATP Italian Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Khachanov vs Van de Zandschulp predictions for ATP Italian Open.
Karen Khachanov will square off with Botic Van de Zandschulp in the round of 32 at the ATP Rome event on Sunday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Karen Khachanov as the most likely winner of the Khachanov vs. Van de Zandschulp match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
Khachanov vs. Van de Zandschulp prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Khachanov-Van de Zandschulp men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives Khachanov a 58% chance of winning against Van de Zandschulp at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additionally, Khachanov has a 57% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Khachanov (-1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 22.5 games has a 52% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Karen Khachanov vs. Botic Van de Zandschulp odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Khachanov | Van de Zandschulp |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -125 | +119 |
| First Set | -139 | +110 |
| Game Spread | -1.5 (-112) | +1.5 (-118) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-112) | u22.5 (-118) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Khachanov vs. Van de Zandschulp picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Khachanov | -125 |
| First Set | Van de Zandschulp | -112 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Karen Khachanov to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Khachanov vs. Van de Zandschulp updates and essential details
The ATP Italian Open match between Karen Khachanov and Botic Van de Zandschulp is scheduled to begin on Sunday at 5:00 AM ET.
- Who: Karen Khachanov vs. Botic Van de Zandschulp
- Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026
- Approx. Time: 5:00 AM ET/2:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Rome, Italy Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 32
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Karen Khachanov, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat Botic Van de Zandschulp at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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