Karen Khachanov vs. Arthur Gea prediction, odds, picks for French Open 2026

Karen Khachanov will face Arthur Gea in the first round of the French Open Men's Singles 2026 on Sunday.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Karen Khachanov as the most likely winner of the Khachanov vs. Gea match.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

Khachanov vs. Gea prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Khachanov-Gea men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Khachanov an 84% chance of beating Gea in the French Open 2026.

Additionally, Khachanov has a 77% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Khachanov (-5.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 36.5 games has a 60% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Karen Khachanov vs. Arthur Gea odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Khachanov	Gea
Moneyline	-450	+385
First Set	-250	+200
Game Spread	-5.5 (-160)	+5.5 (+100)
Total Games	o36.5 (-110)	u36.5 (-120)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Khachanov vs. Gea picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Moneyline	Khachanov	-450
First Set	Gea	-120

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Karen Khachanov to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Khachanov vs. Gea updates and essential details

The French Open 2026 match between Karen Khachanov and Arthur Gea is scheduled to start on Sunday at 5:00 AM ET.

• Who: Karen Khachanov vs. Arthur Gea
• Date: Sunday, May 24, 2026
• Approx. Time: 5:00 AM ET/2:00AM PT
• Tournament: French Open Men's Singles 2026
• Round: First round

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Karen Khachanov, with an 84% win probability, will likely beat Arthur Gea at the French Open 2026.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.