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Jessica Pegula vs. Rebeka Masarova prediction, odds, picks for WTA Italian Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Pegula vs Masarova predictions for WTA Italian Open.
Jessica Pegula and Rebeka Masarova will lock horns in the round of 32 of the WTA Italian Open event on Sunday.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Jessica Pegula as the most likely winner of the Pegula vs. Masarova match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
Pegula vs. Masarova prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Pegula-Masarova women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Pegula an 83% chance of winning against Masarova at the WTA Italian Open tournament.
Additionally, Pegula has a 78% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Masarova (+5.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 19.5 games has a 53% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Jessica Pegula vs. Rebeka Masarova odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Pegula | Masarova |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -699 | +520 |
| First Set | -400 | +300 |
| Game Spread | -5.5 (-120) | +5.5 (-110) |
| Total Games | o19.5 (-118) | u19.5 (-118) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Pegula vs. Masarova picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Masarova | +520 |
| First Set | Masarova | -118 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 19.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Pegula vs. Masarova updates and essential details
The WTA Italian Open match between Jessica Pegula and Rebeka Masarova is scheduled to start on Sunday at 7:00 AM ET.
- Who: Jessica Pegula vs. Rebeka Masarova
- Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026
- Approx. Time: 7:00 AM ET/4:00AM PT
- Tournament: WTA Rome, Italy Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 32
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Jessica Pegula, with an 83% win probability, will likely beat Rebeka Masarova at the WTA Italian Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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