Jesper De Jong vs. Sebastian Baez prediction, odds, picks for ATP Swedish Open 2026
Get De Jong vs Baez predictions for ATP Swedish Open.
Jesper De Jong will square off with Sebastian Baez in the round of 16 at the ATP Bastad event on Thursday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Jesper De Jong as the most likely winner of the De Jong vs. Baez match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.
De Jong vs. Baez prediction: Who will win and advance to the quarterfinals?
Our famous predictive model gives De Jong a 54% chance of winning against Baez at the ATP Swedish Open tournament.
Jesper De Jong vs. Sebastian Baez odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | De Jong | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -128 | +112 |
| Game Spread | -0.5 (-120) | +0.5 (-110) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-112) | u22.5 (-118) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
De Jong vs. Baez picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Baez | +112 |
| First Set | Baez | -112 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Sebastian Baez to win.
Although Baez is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
De Jong vs. Baez updates and essential details
The ATP Swedish Open match between Jesper De Jong and Sebastian Baez is scheduled to start on Thursday at 8:30 AM ET.
- Who: Jesper De Jong vs. Sebastian Baez
- Date: Thursday, July 16, 2026
- Approx. Time: 8:30 AM ET/5:30AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Bastad, Sweden Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 16
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Jesper De Jong, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat Sebastian Baez at the ATP Swedish Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
