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Jesper De Jong vs. Nuno Borges prediction, odds, picks for ATP Italian Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get De Jong vs Borges predictions for ATP Italian Open.
Jesper De Jong and Nuno Borges will meet in the round of 128 of the ATP Italian Open event on Wednesday.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Nuno Borges as the most likely winner of the De Jong vs. Borges match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
De Jong vs. Borges prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's De Jong-Borges men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Borges a 54% chance of beating De Jong at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additionally, Borges has a 52% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Borges (-0.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 22.5 games has a 51% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Jesper De Jong vs. Nuno Borges odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | De Jong | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +115 | -135 |
| First Set | +100 | -125 |
| Game Spread | +0.5 (-105) | -0.5 (-150) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-120) | u22.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
De Jong vs. Borges picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | De Jong | +115 |
| First Set | Borges | -120 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Jesper De Jong to win.
Although De Jong is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
De Jong vs. Borges updates and essential details
The ATP Italian Open match between Jesper De Jong and Nuno Borges is scheduled to begin on Wednesday at 10:55 AM ET.
- Who: Jesper De Jong vs. Nuno Borges
- Date: Wednesday, May 6, 2026
- Approx. Time: 10:55 AM ET/7:55AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Rome, Italy Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 128
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Nuno Borges, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat Jesper De Jong at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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