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Jelena Ostapenko vs. Amanda Anisimova prediction, odds, picks for WTA Italian Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get Ostapenko vs Anisimova predictions for WTA Italian Open.
Jelena Ostapenko will take on Amanda Anisimova in the round of 64 at the WTA Rome event on Thursday.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model projects Amanda Anisimova as the most likely winner of the Ostapenko vs. Anisimova match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.
Ostapenko vs. Anisimova prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's Ostapenko-Anisimova women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives Anisimova a 52% chance of beating Ostapenko at the WTA Italian Open tournament.
Additionally, Anisimova has a 51% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Ostapenko (+1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 21.5 games has a 52% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Jelena Ostapenko vs. Amanda Anisimova odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Ostapenko | Anisimova |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +105 | -122 |
| First Set | +100 | -125 |
| Game Spread | +1.5 (-118) | -1.5 (-112) |
| Total Games | o21.5 (-120) | u21.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Ostapenko vs. Anisimova picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ostapenko | +105 |
| First Set | Anisimova | -120 |
According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Jelena Ostapenko to win.
Although Ostapenko is less than likely to win, she provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Ostapenko vs. Anisimova updates and essential details
The WTA Italian Open match between Jelena Ostapenko and Amanda Anisimova is scheduled to commence on Thursday at 10:00 AM ET.
- Who: Jelena Ostapenko vs. Amanda Anisimova
- Date: Thursday, May 7, 2026
- Approx. Time: 10:00 AM ET/7:00AM PT
- Tournament: WTA Rome, Italy Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 64
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Amanda Anisimova, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat Jelena Ostapenko at the WTA Italian Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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