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Read Article Jasmine Paolini vs. Leolia Jeanjean prediction, odds, picks for WTA Italian Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get Paolini vs Jeanjean predictions for WTA Italian Open.
Jasmine Paolini will take on Leolia Jeanjean in the round of 64 at the WTA Rome event on Thursday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Jasmine Paolini as the most likely winner of the Paolini vs. Jeanjean match.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.
Paolini vs. Jeanjean prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's Paolini-Jeanjean women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives Paolini an 80% chance of defeating Jeanjean at the WTA Italian Open tournament.
Additionally, Paolini has a 75% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Jeanjean (+5.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the **over/under of 20.5 games has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting, according to our model.
Jasmine Paolini vs. Leolia Jeanjean odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Paolini | Jeanjean |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -450 | +354 |
| First Set | -357 | +275 |
| Game Spread | -5.5 (-104) | +5.5 (-128) |
| Total Games | o20.5 (+100) | u20.5 (-150) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Paolini vs. Jeanjean picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Jeanjean | +354 |
| First Set | Jeanjean | +100 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 20.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Paolini vs. Jeanjean updates and essential details
The WTA Italian Open match between Jasmine Paolini and Leolia Jeanjean is scheduled to start on Thursday at 7:00 AM ET.
- Who: Jasmine Paolini vs. Leolia Jeanjean
- Date: Thursday, May 7, 2026
- Approx. Time: 7:00 AM ET/4:00AM PT
- Tournament: WTA Rome, Italy Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 64
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Jasmine Paolini, with an 80% win probability, will likely beat Leolia Jeanjean at the WTA Italian Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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