May 23, 2026
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Read Article Jaime Faria vs. Denis Shapovalov prediction, odds, picks for French Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Faria vs Shapovalov predictions for French Open 2026.
Jaime Faria will take on Denis Shapovalov in the first round of the French Open Men's Singles 2026 on Monday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model projects Jaime Faria as the most likely winner of the Faria vs. Shapovalov match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's match, including best bets and picks.
Faria vs. Shapovalov prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's Faria-Shapovalov men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Faria a 54% chance of beating Shapovalov in the French Open 2026.
Additionally, Faria has a 54% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show that the bookmakers have got it right with the +1.5 games spread, with each player projected to have a 50-50 chance of covering, while the over 37.5 games has a 54% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Jaime Faria vs. Denis Shapovalov odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Faria | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -125 | +116 |
| First Set | -125 | +100 |
| Game Spread | -1.5 (-120) | +1.5 (-110) |
| Total Games | o37.5 (-115) | u37.5 (-125) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Faria vs. Shapovalov picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Faria | -125 |
| First Set | Shapovalov | -115 |
According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Jaime Faria to win the first set.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Faria vs. Shapovalov updates and essential details
The French Open 2026 match between Jaime Faria and Denis Shapovalov is scheduled to begin on Monday at 5:00 AM ET.
- Who: Jaime Faria vs. Denis Shapovalov
- Date: Monday, May 25, 2026
- Approx. Time: 5:00 AM ET/2:00AM PT
- Tournament: French Open Men's Singles 2026
- Round: First round
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Jaime Faria, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat Denis Shapovalov at the French Open 2026.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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