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Jacob Fearnley vs. Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard prediction, odds, picks for ATP Italian Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Fearnley vs Mpetshi Perricard predictions for ATP Italian Open.
Jacob Fearnley will face Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard in the round of 128 at the ATP Rome event on Wednesday.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Jacob Fearnley as the most likely winner of the Fearnley vs. Mpetshi Perricard match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Fearnley vs. Mpetshi Perricard prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Fearnley-Mpetshi Perricard men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives Fearnley a 60% chance of beating Mpetshi Perricard at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additionally, Fearnley has a 59% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Fearnley (-2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 24.5 games has a 59% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Jacob Fearnley vs. Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Fearnley | Mpetshi Perricard |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -164 | +146 |
| First Set | -152 | +120 |
| Game Spread | -2.5 (-106) | +2.5 (-126) |
| Total Games | o24.5 (-115) | u24.5 (-125) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Fearnley vs. Mpetshi Perricard picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mpetshi Perricard | +146 |
| First Set | Mpetshi Perricard | -125 |
According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard to win the first set.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Fearnley vs. Mpetshi Perricard updates and essential details
The ATP Italian Open match between Jacob Fearnley and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard is scheduled to commence on Wednesday at 3:00 PM ET.
- Who: Jacob Fearnley vs. Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
- Date: Wednesday, May 6, 2026
- Approx. Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Tournament: ATP Rome, Italy Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 128
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Jacob Fearnley, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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