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Rockets vs. Lakers prediction: Lakers to win, LeBron James projected for 24 points in Game 5 [2026 NBA Playoffs]
Get Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers predictions for NBA Playoffs Wednesday.

The Los Angeles Lakers will square off with the Houston Rockets in Game 5 of their 2026 NBA Playoffs series at Crypto.com Arena on Wednesday, starting at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Lakers as the most likely winner of the Rockets vs. Lakers Game 5 matchup.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Lakers lineup will feature stars like LeBron James, Austin Reaves and Luke Kennard, while the Rockets will be led by Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson and Jabari Smith.
Luka Doncic will not be on the court, with the Slovenian star out for this one.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Rockets vs. Lakers prediction: Who will win Game 5?
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Lakers a 65% chance of beating the Rockets in Game 5 of the series. Our predicted final score has the Lakers winning 106-102.
According to our model, the Lakers (-4.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 208.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of going over.
Rockets vs. Lakers Game 5 odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Rockets | Lakers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +4.5 (-112) | -4.5 (-102) |
| Moneyline | +155 | -174 |
| Total | o208.5 (-110) | u208.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Rockets vs. Lakers picks and best bet for Game 5
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Lakers -4.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Lakers | -174 |
| Total | Over 208.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Wednesday, the top play to make on this game is Lakers to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Rockets vs. Lakers Game 5 player props
Betting on Rockets vs. Lakers NBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Crypto.com Arena.
Alperen Sengun is expected to lead the Rockets with 23 points, 10 rebounds and 7 assists, while LeBron James is projected to have 24 points, 7 rebounds and 8 assists for the Lakers.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Rockets prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Rockets are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alperen Sengun | 23 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 52 |
| Amen Thompson | 20 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 45 |
| Jabari Smith | 17 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 34 |
| Reed Sheppard | 16 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 35 |
| Tari Eason | 13 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 31 |
Lakers prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Lakers:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James | 24 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 53 |
| Austin Reaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 34 |
| Luke Kennard | 13 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 27 |
| Rui Hachimura | 13 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 23 |
| Deandre Ayton | 12 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 26 |
Rockets vs. Lakers Game 5 updates and essential details
Wednesday's Game 5 between the Lakers and Rockets in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Houston Rockets vs. Los Angeles Lakers
- Date: Wednesday, April 29, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Crypto.com Arena
- NBA Playoffs bracket: Updated NBA Playoffs bracket and schedule
The NBA Playoffs is an annual postseason tournament held to determine the league's champion.
Sixteen teams, including the Rockets and Lakers, made the 2026 NBA Playoffs, which spans four rounds: the First Round, Conference Semifinals, Conference Finals, and NBA Finals.
Each round of the NBA Playoffs is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins progressing to the next round until a champion is crowned.
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Conclusion
We predict the Lakers, with a 65% win probability, will likely beat the Rockets in Wednesday's NBA playoffs matchup.
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