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Hamad Medjedovic vs. Valentin Royer prediction, odds, picks for ATP Italian Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Medjedovic vs Royer predictions for ATP Italian Open.
Hamad Medjedovic will take on Valentin Royer in the round of 128 at the ATP Rome event on Thursday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Hamad Medjedovic as the most likely winner of the Medjedovic vs. Royer match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.
Medjedovic vs. Royer prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's Medjedovic-Royer men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives Medjedovic a 72% chance of defeating Royer at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additionally, Medjedovic has a 68% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Medjedovic (-3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 58% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Hamad Medjedovic vs. Valentin Royer odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Medjedovic | Royer |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -292 | +250 |
| First Set | -227 | +175 |
| Game Spread | -3.5 (-120) | +3.5 (-110) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (+100) | u22.5 (-128) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Medjedovic vs. Royer picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Medjedovic | -292 |
| First Set | Royer | -128 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 22.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Medjedovic vs. Royer updates and essential details
The ATP Italian Open match between Hamad Medjedovic and Valentin Royer is scheduled to commence on Thursday at 12:10 PM ET.
- Who: Hamad Medjedovic vs. Valentin Royer
- Date: Thursday, May 7, 2026
- Approx. Time: 12:10 PM ET/9:10AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Rome, Italy Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 128
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Hamad Medjedovic, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat Valentin Royer at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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