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Flavio Cobolli vs. Thiago Agustin Tirante prediction, odds, picks for ATP Italian Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Cobolli vs Tirante predictions for ATP Italian Open.
Flavio Cobolli will take on Thiago Agustin Tirante in the round of 32 at the ATP Rome event on Monday.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Flavio Cobolli as the most likely winner of the Cobolli vs. Tirante match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's match, including best bets and picks.
Cobolli vs. Tirante prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's Cobolli-Tirante men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Cobolli a 69% chance of defeating Tirante at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additionally, Cobolli has a 66% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Tirante (+3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 52% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Flavio Cobolli vs. Thiago Agustin Tirante odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Cobolli | Tirante |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -235 | +220 |
| First Set | -200 | +162 |
| Game Spread | -3.5 (-108) | +3.5 (-124) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-110) | u22.5 (-120) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Cobolli vs. Tirante picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tirante | +220 |
| First Set | Tirante | -120 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Thiago Tirante to win.
Although Tirante is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Cobolli vs. Tirante updates and essential details
The ATP Italian Open match between Flavio Cobolli and Thiago Agustin Tirante is scheduled to commence on Monday at 1:00 PM ET.
- Who: Flavio Cobolli vs. Thiago Agustin Tirante
- Date: Monday, May 11, 2026
- Approx. Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Rome, Italy Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 32
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Flavio Cobolli, with a 69% win probability, will likely beat Thiago Tirante at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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