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Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Mariano Navone prediction, odds, picks for ATP Italian Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Auger-Aliassime vs Navone predictions for ATP Italian Open.
Felix Auger-Aliassime will take on Mariano Navone in the round of 64 at the ATP Rome event on Saturday.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Felix Auger-Aliassime as the most likely winner of the Auger-Aliassime vs. Navone match.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Auger-Aliassime vs. Navone prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Auger-Aliassime-Navone men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Auger-Aliassime a 66% chance of defeating Navone at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additionally, Auger-Aliassime has a 64% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Auger-Aliassime (-2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 53% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Mariano Navone odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Auger-Aliassime | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -182 | +164 |
| First Set | -164 | +130 |
| Game Spread | -2.5 (-120) | +2.5 (-110) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-108) | u22.5 (-126) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Auger-Aliassime vs. Navone picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Auger-Aliassime | -182 |
| First Set | Navone | -126 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 22.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Auger-Aliassime vs. Navone updates and essential details
The ATP Italian Open match between Felix Auger-Aliassime and Mariano Navone is scheduled to commence on Saturday at 7:10 AM ET.
- Who: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Mariano Navone
- Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
- Approx. Time: 7:10 AM ET/4:10AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Rome, Italy Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 64
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Felix Auger-Aliassime, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat Mariano Navone at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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