Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Brandon Nakashima prediction, odds, picks for French Open 2026

Felix Auger-Aliassime will square off with Brandon Nakashima in the third round of the French Open Men's Singles 2026 on Saturday.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Felix Auger-Aliassime as the most likely winner of the Auger-Aliassime vs. Nakashima match.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Auger-Aliassime vs. Nakashima prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Auger-Aliassime-Nakashima men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Auger-Aliassime a 76% chance of winning against Nakashima in the French Open 2026.

Additionally, Auger-Aliassime has a 70% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Auger-Aliassime (-4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 38.5 games has a 54% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Brandon Nakashima odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Auger-Aliassime	Nakashima
Moneyline	-303	+255
First Set	-227	+175
Game Spread	-4.5 (-120)	+4.5 (-110)
Total Games	o38.5 (-110)	u38.5 (-120)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Auger-Aliassime vs. Nakashima picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Moneyline	Auger-Aliassime	-303
First Set	Nakashima	-120

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 38.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Auger-Aliassime vs. Nakashima updates and essential details

The French Open 2026 match between Felix Auger-Aliassime and Brandon Nakashima is scheduled to begin on Saturday at 2:15 PM ET.

• Who: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Brandon Nakashima
• Date: Saturday, May 30, 2026
• Approx. Time: 2:15 PM ET/11:15AM PT
• Tournament: French Open Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Third round

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Felix Auger-Aliassime, with a 76% win probability, will likely beat Brandon Nakashima at the French Open 2026.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.