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Oilers vs. Golden Knights prediction: Vegas favored to win Sunday's NHL matchup [3/8/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Edmonton Oilers vs Vegas Golden Knights predictions for NHL Sunday.
NHL action continues on Sunday at 9:30 PM ET as the Edmonton Oilers lock horns with the Vegas Golden Knights at T-Mobile Arena.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model gives the Golden Knights a slight edge with a 51% win probability over the Oilers.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's Oilers vs. Golden Knights matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Oilers vs. Golden Knights prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NHL matchup between the Oilers and Golden Knights 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Golden Knights a 51% chance of defeating the Oilers.
According to our model, the 6.5-goal over/under has a 53% chance of going over.
Oilers vs. Golden Knights odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Oilers | Golden Knights |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -106 | -110 |
| Total | o6.5 (-158) | u6.5 (+136) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Oilers vs. Golden Knights picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Golden Knights | -110 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | +136 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Oilers vs. Golden Knights player props
Who will score a goal in Oilers vs. Golden Knights?
According to our model, Leon Draisaitl is most likely to score an anytime goal in Oilers vs. Golden Knights.
Our projections give Draisaitl a 42.7% chance of scoring a goal at T-Mobile Arena, while the star is an 8.6% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Leon Draisaitl | 42.7% |
| Zach Hyman | 37.5% |
| Connor McDavid | 32.6% |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 18.9% |
| Jack Roslovic | 18.7% |
Vegas Golden Knights
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Pavel Dorofeyev | 38.9% |
| Jack Eichel | 38.5% |
| Tomas Hertl | 32.4% |
| Mitch Marner | 30.8% |
| Ivan Barbashev | 28.3% |
First goal scorer predictions
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Leon Draisaitl | 8.6% |
| Zach Hyman | 7.5% |
| Connor McDavid | 5.9% |
| Evan Bouchard | 3.5% |
| Jack Roslovic | 3.4% |
Vegas Golden Knights
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Pavel Dorofeyev | 7.7% |
| Jack Eichel | 7.3% |
| Tomas Hertl | 5.7% |
| Mitch Marner | 5.3% |
| Ivan Barbashev | 5.0% |
Oilers vs. Golden Knights game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's action between the Golden Knights and Oilers at T-Mobile Arena is scheduled to start at 9:30 PM ET.
- Who: Edmonton Oilers vs. Vegas Golden Knights
- Date: Sunday, March 8, 2026
- Time: 9:30 PM ET/6:30PM PT
- Venue: T-Mobile Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Golden Knights, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat the Oilers on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Oilers vs. Golden Knights insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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