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Oilers vs. Flames prediction: Why Edmonton is favored to win Wednesday's NHL matchup [2/4/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Edmonton Oilers vs Calgary Flames predictions for NHL Wednesday.
The Calgary Flames will square off with the Edmonton Oilers in NHL action at Scotiabank Saddledome on Wednesday, starting at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Oilers as the most likely winner of the Oilers vs. Flames game.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Oilers vs. Flames prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NHL game between the Oilers and Flames 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Oilers a 56% chance of defeating the Flames.
According to our model, the Flames (+1.5) have a 67% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 55% chance of staying under.
Oilers vs. Flames odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Oilers | Flames |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+185) | +1.5 (-220) |
| Moneyline | -135 | +120 |
| Total | o6.5 (-104) | u6.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Oilers vs. Flames picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Oilers -1.5 | +185 |
| Moneyline | Flames | +120 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | -115 |
According to our best NHL bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.
Oilers vs. Flames player props
Who will score a goal in Oilers vs. Flames?
According to our model, Leon Draisaitl is most likely to score an anytime goal in Oilers vs. Flames.
Our projections give Draisaitl a 41.9% chance of scoring a goal at Scotiabank Saddledome, while the star is a 9.3% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Leon Draisaitl | 41.9% |
| Connor McDavid | 40.8% |
| Zach Hyman | 39.3% |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 20.6% |
| Evan Bouchard | 20.1% |
Calgary Flames
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Yegor Sharangovich | 27.9% |
| Nazem Kadri | 27.1% |
| Matthew Coronato | 25.3% |
| Mikael Backlund | 22.1% |
| Jonathan Huberdeau | 20.9% |
First goal scorer predictions
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Leon Draisaitl | 9.3% |
| Connor McDavid | 8.4% |
| Zach Hyman | 8.0% |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 3.8% |
| Evan Bouchard | 3.8% |
Calgary Flames
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Yegor Sharangovich | 5.3% |
| Nazem Kadri | 5.1% |
| Matthew Coronato | 4.1% |
| Mikael Backlund | 3.7% |
| Matvei Gridin | 3.5% |
Oilers vs. Flames game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's action between the Flames and Oilers at Scotiabank Saddledome is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Edmonton Oilers vs. Calgary Flames
- Date: Wednesday, February 4, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Scotiabank Saddledome
Conclusion
We predict the Oilers, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Flames on Wednesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Oilers vs. Flames insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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