Dino Prizmic vs. Matteo Berrettini prediction, odds, picks for ATP Madrid Open 2026

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Get Prizmic vs Berrettini predictions for ATP Madrid Open.

Dino Prizmic vs Matteo Berrettini Tennis Prediction.
Our Dino Prizmic and Matteo Berrettini tennis prediction is based on thousands of simulations of the upcoming match.

Dino Prizmic and Matteo Berrettini will lock horns in the round of 128 of the ATP Madrid Open event on Wednesday.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Matteo Berrettini as the most likely winner of the Prizmic vs. Berrettini match.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Prizmic vs. Berrettini prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Prizmic-Berrettini men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Berrettini a 57% chance of winning against Prizmic at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.

Additionally, Berrettini has a 55% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Berrettini (-1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 23.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting, according to our model.

 

Dino Prizmic vs. Matteo Berrettini odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type Prizmic Berrettini
Moneyline +132 -139
First Set +110 -139
Game Spread +1.5 (-108) -1.5 (-126)
Total Games o23.5 (-104) u23.5 (-128)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Prizmic vs. Berrettini picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Moneyline Prizmic +132
First Set Berrettini -128

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Dino Prizmic to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Prizmic vs. Berrettini updates and essential details

The ATP Madrid Open match between Dino Prizmic and Matteo Berrettini is scheduled to begin on Wednesday at 7:30 AM ET.

  • Who: Dino Prizmic vs. Matteo Berrettini
  • Date: Wednesday, April 22, 2026
  • Approx. Time: 7:30 AM ET/4:30AM PT
  • Tournament: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2026
  • Round: Round of 128

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Matteo Berrettini, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat Dino Prizmic at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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