Red Wings vs. Penguins prediction: Why Pittsburgh is favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [3/31/2026]

NHL action continues on Tuesday at 7:00 PM ET as the Detroit Red Wings lock horns with the Pittsburgh Penguins at PPG Paints Arena.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model gives the Penguins a slight edge with a 51% win probability over the Red Wings.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's Red Wings vs. Penguins matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Red Wings vs. Penguins prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NHL matchup between the Red Wings and Penguins, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Penguins a 51% chance of beating the Red Wings.

According to our model, the Penguins (+1.5) have a 72% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 54% chance of staying under.

Red Wings vs. Penguins odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Red Wings	Penguins
Puck Line	-1.5 (+225)	+1.5 (-250)
Moneyline	-108	-105
Total	o6.5 (-104)	u6.5 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Red Wings vs. Penguins picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Penguins +1.5	-250
Moneyline	Penguins	-105
Total	Under 6.5	-115

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Red Wings vs. Penguins player props

Who will score a goal in Red Wings vs. Penguins?

According to our model, Alex DeBrincat is most likely to score an anytime goal in Red Wings vs. Penguins.

Our projections give DeBrincat a 38.1% chance of scoring a goal at PPG Paints Arena, while the star is an 8.4% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Detroit Red Wings

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Alex DeBrincat	38.1%
Dylan Larkin	33.5%
Lucas Raymond	31.7%
Patrick Kane	25.3%
Marco Kasper	21.0%

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Bryan Rust	32.2%
Rickard Rakell	29.7%
Anthony Mantha	28.3%
Sidney Crosby	26.2%
Yegor Chinakhov	25.0%

First goal scorer predictions

Detroit Red Wings

Player	First Goal Probability
Alex DeBrincat	8.4%
Lucas Raymond	6.2%
Dylan Larkin	6.2%
Patrick Kane	4.1%
Marco Kasper	3.9%

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player	First Goal Probability
Bryan Rust	6.6%
Sidney Crosby	5.6%
Anthony Mantha	5.4%
Rickard Rakell	5.2%
Yegor Chinakhov	4.7%

Red Wings vs. Penguins game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's game between the Penguins and Red Wings at PPG Paints Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Detroit Red Wings vs. Pittsburgh Penguins
• Date: Tuesday, March 31, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: PPG Paints Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Penguins, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat the Red Wings on Tuesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Red Wings vs. Penguins insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.

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