Daniel Merida vs. Ben Shelton prediction, odds, picks for French Open 2026

Daniel Merida will square off with Ben Shelton in the first round of the French Open Men's Singles 2026 on Monday.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Ben Shelton as the most likely winner of the Merida vs. Shelton match.

This article offers a closer look at Monday's match, including best bets and picks.

Merida vs. Shelton prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's Merida-Shelton men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Shelton a 76% chance of beating Merida in the French Open 2026.

Additionally, Shelton has a 69% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Shelton (-5.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 38.5 games has a 58% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Daniel Merida vs. Ben Shelton odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Merida	Shelton
Moneyline	+295	-357
First Set	+175	-227
Game Spread	+5.5 (-118)	-5.5 (-112)
Total Games	o38.5 (-110)	u38.5 (-135)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Merida vs. Shelton picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Moneyline	Merida	+295
First Set	Shelton	-135

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Daniel Merida to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Merida vs. Shelton updates and essential details

The French Open 2026 match between Daniel Merida and Ben Shelton is scheduled to start on Monday at 12:15 PM ET.

• Who: Daniel Merida vs. Ben Shelton
• Date: Monday, May 25, 2026
• Approx. Time: 12:15 PM ET/9:15AM PT
• Tournament: French Open Men's Singles 2026
• Round: First round

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Ben Shelton, with a 76% win probability, will likely beat Daniel Merida at the French Open 2026.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.