Stars vs. Flyers prediction: Why Dallas is favored to win Sunday's NHL matchup [3/29/2026]

The Philadelphia Flyers will square off with the Dallas Stars in NHL action at Xfinity Mobile Arena on Sunday, commencing at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Stars as the most likely winner of the Stars vs. Flyers game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Stars vs. Flyers prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NHL game between the Stars and Flyers, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Stars a 58% chance of defeating the Flyers.

According to our model, the Flyers (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 54% chance of going over.

Stars vs. Flyers odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Stars	Flyers
Puck Line	-1.5 (+148)	+1.5 (-175)
Moneyline	-175	+146
Total	o5.5 (-122)	u5.5 (+110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Stars vs. Flyers picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Flyers +1.5	-175
Moneyline	Flyers	+146
Total	Over 5.5	-122

According to our best NHL bets, the top play to make on this game is Flyers to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Stars vs. Flyers player props

Who will score a goal in Stars vs. Flyers?

According to our model, Jason Robertson is most likely to score an anytime goal in Stars vs. Flyers.

Our projections give Robertson a 36.7% chance of scoring a goal at Xfinity Mobile Arena, while the star is an 8.3% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Dallas Stars

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Jason Robertson	36.7%
Wyatt Johnston	35.6%
Mikko Rantanen	33.4%
Matt Duchene	26.9%
Mavrik Bourque	25.0%

Philadelphia Flyers

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Owen Tippett	30.4%
Travis Konecny	30.1%
Matvei Michkov	25.3%
Noah Cates	21.1%
Trevor Zegras	20.7%

First goal scorer predictions

Dallas Stars

Player	First Goal Probability
Jason Robertson	8.3%
Wyatt Johnston	7.2%
Mikko Rantanen	6.3%
Matt Duchene	5.5%
Mavrik Bourque	4.6%

Philadelphia Flyers

Player	First Goal Probability
Travis Konecny	6.2%
Owen Tippett	5.9%
Matvei Michkov	4.9%
Noah Cates	4.0%
Trevor Zegras	3.6%

Stars vs. Flyers game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's game between the Flyers and Stars at Xfinity Mobile Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Dallas Stars vs. Philadelphia Flyers
• Date: Sunday, March 29, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Xfinity Mobile Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Stars, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat the Flyers on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Stars vs. Flyers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.