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Stars vs. Wild prediction: Why Dallas is favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [3/21/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild predictions for NHL Saturday.
The Minnesota Wild will take on the Dallas Stars, in what is expected to be a tight NHL game, at Grand Casino Arena on Saturday, commencing at 4:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model gives the Stars a slight edge with a 53% win probability over the Wild.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's Stars vs. Wild matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Stars vs. Wild prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NHL matchup between the Stars and Wild 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Stars a 53% chance of defeating the Wild.
According to our model, the Wild (+1.5) have a 68% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 53% chance of going over.
Stars vs. Wild odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Stars | Wild |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+194) | +1.5 (-225) |
| Moneyline | -134 | +114 |
| Total | o5.5 (-115) | u5.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Stars vs. Wild picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Wild +1.5 | -225 |
| Moneyline | Wild | +114 |
| Total | Over 5.5 | -115 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Wild to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Stars vs. Wild player props
Who will score a goal in Stars vs. Wild?
According to our model, Matt Boldy is most likely to score an anytime goal in Stars vs. Wild.
Our projections give Boldy a 38.5% chance of scoring a goal at Grand Casino Arena, while the star is a 7.8% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Dallas Stars
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Wyatt Johnston | 37.4% |
| Jason Robertson | 37.4% |
| Matt Duchene | 28.5% |
| Mavrik Bourque | 22.5% |
| Jamie Benn | 21.3% |
Minnesota Wild
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Matt Boldy | 38.5% |
| Mats Zuccarello | 27.9% |
| Danila Yurov | 23.4% |
| Vladimir Tarasenko | 22.8% |
| Quinn Hughes | 21.5% |
First goal scorer predictions
Dallas Stars
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Wyatt Johnston | 8.0% |
| Jason Robertson | 7.6% |
| Matt Duchene | 5.3% |
| Mavrik Bourque | 4.3% |
| Jamie Benn | 3.7% |
Minnesota Wild
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Matt Boldy | 7.8% |
| Mats Zuccarello | 5.4% |
| Danila Yurov | 4.3% |
| Vladimir Tarasenko | 3.9% |
| Quinn Hughes | 3.9% |
Stars vs. Wild game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's action between the Wild and Stars at Grand Casino Arena is scheduled to commence at 4:00 PM ET.
- Who: Dallas Stars vs. Minnesota Wild
- Date: Saturday, March 21, 2026
- Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
- Venue: Grand Casino Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Stars, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Wild on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Stars vs. Wild insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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