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Stars vs. Avalanche Prediction: Colorado Predicted to Win Thursday's NHL Matchup [5/1/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Our expert prediction for Thursday's Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche matchup.
The Colorado Avalanche and Dallas Stars will lock horns in the NHL Playoffs at Ball Arena on Thursday, starting at 9:30PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Avalanche as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Dallas-Colorado game 10,000 times," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.
"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Avalanche with a win probability of 61% and the Stars with 39%."
For a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Stars vs. Avalanche predictions page.
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Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NHL Playoffs matchup between the Stars and Avalanche 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Avalanche a 61% chance of beating the Stars.
According to our model, the Stars (+1.5) have a 61% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 54% chance of staying under.
Stars vs. Avalanche Odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Stars | Avalanche |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-154) | -1.5 (+130) |
| Moneyline | +165 | -192 |
| Total | o6.5 (+106) | u6.5 (-120) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Stars vs. Avalanche Picks and Best Bets
Our model's strongest edge in today's Stars vs. Avalanche matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best NHL picks and NHL best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Unlock Every Stars-Avalanche Pick Get Dimers Pro Stars vs. Avalanche Player Props
Who will score the first goal in Stars vs. Avalanche?
According to our model, Colorado's Nathan MacKinnon is most likely to score the first goal in Stars vs. Avalanche.
Our projections give MacKinnon an 8.5% chance of scoring the first goal at Ball Arena, while the Avalanche star is a 39.6% chance of registering an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
Dallas Stars
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Wyatt Johnston | 7.3% |
| Mikko Rantanen | 6.4% |
| Roope Hintz | 4.9% |
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnon | 8.5% |
| Martin Necas | 5.0% |
| Brock Nelson | 4.8% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
Dallas Stars
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Mikko Rantanen | 34.5% |
| Wyatt Johnston | 33.8% |
| Roope Hintz | 27.1% |
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnon | 39.6% |
| Martin Necas | 27.5% |
| Brock Nelson | 26.9% |
Stars vs. Avs Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Thursday's matchup between the Avalanche and Stars in the NHL Playoffs is scheduled to commence at 9:30PM ET.
- Who: Dallas Stars vs. Colorado Avalanche
- Date: Thursday, May 1, 2025
- Time: 9:30PM ET/6:30PM PT
- Venue: Ball Arena
The Stanley Cup Playoffs is the National Hockey League's annual elimination tournament to decide the winner of the Stanley Cup.
Sixteen teams, including the Stars and Avalanche, made the NHL Playoffs 2025, which includes four rounds: the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.
Each round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins moving on to the next round until a champion is crowned.
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Thursday's Stars vs. Avalanche matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Dallas vs. Colorado picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Avalanche, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Stars on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Stars vs. Avalanche insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NHL
Stay informed with the latest NHL betting news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds provide the most up-to-date probabilities for the Stanley Cup title.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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