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Crystal Palace vs. Newcastle prediction, odds, Premier League picks [4/12/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Crystal Palace vs Newcastle predictions for Premier League Sunday.
Crystal Palace and Newcastle are scheduled to meet in the Premier League at Selhurst Park on Sunday, with kickoff at 9:00 AM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced Premier League model projects Crystal Palace as the most likely winner of the Crystal Palace vs. Newcastle game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
Crystal Palace vs. Newcastle prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Premier League match between Crystal Palace and Newcastle, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model indicates a 38.4% chance of Crystal Palace winning, a 37.3% chance for Newcastle, and a 24.3% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 58% chance of going over, according to our model.
Crystal Palace vs. Newcastle odds
We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Crystal Palace | Newcastle | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +200 | +145 | +240 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -110 | -110 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Crystal Palace vs. Newcastle picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Crystal Palace | +200 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -110 |
According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 2.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Crystal Palace vs. Newcastle: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| CRY 1-1 NEW | 11.2% |
| CRY 2-1 NEW | 8.5% |
| CRY 1-2 NEW | 8.3% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 60.3% chance of both sides finding the net and a 39.7% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Crystal Palace vs. Newcastle game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's Premier League action between Crystal Palace and Newcastle at Selhurst Park is scheduled to start in the United States at 9:00 AM ET.
- Who: Crystal Palace vs. Newcastle
- Date: Sunday, April 12, 2026
- Time: 9:00 AM ET/6:00AM PT
- Venue: Selhurst Park
World Cup 2026 watch: Chris Richards (USA)
Crystal Palace center-back Chris Richards is on the radar for USMNT fans this year as interest grows in the lead up to the FIFA World Cup 2026, with rising interest in World Cup news and early conversation about who will win the World Cup. With the United States set to face Australia, Paraguay, and one of Türkiye, Romania, Slovakia, or Kosovo in Group D next year, Richards' Premier League form will be tracked closely.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Crystal Palace has a 38.4% win probability on Sunday, Newcastle has a 37.3% win probability, and there is a 24.3% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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