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Corentin Moutet vs. Pablo Llamas Ruiz prediction, odds, picks for ATP Italian Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Moutet vs Llamas Ruiz predictions for ATP Italian Open.
Corentin Moutet will square off with Pablo Llamas Ruiz in the round of 64 at the ATP Rome event on Saturday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model projects Corentin Moutet as the most likely winner of the Moutet vs. Llamas Ruiz match.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Moutet vs. Llamas Ruiz prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Moutet-Llamas Ruiz men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives Moutet a 56% chance of defeating Llamas Ruiz at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additionally, Moutet has a 55% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Moutet (-0.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 52% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Corentin Moutet vs. Pablo Llamas Ruiz odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Moutet | Llamas Ruiz |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -134 | +115 |
| First Set | -125 | +100 |
| Game Spread | -0.5 (-145) | +0.5 (-110) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-110) | u22.5 (-120) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Moutet vs. Llamas Ruiz picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Moutet | -134 |
| First Set | Llamas Ruiz | -120 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 22.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Moutet vs. Llamas Ruiz updates and essential details
The ATP Italian Open match between Corentin Moutet and Pablo Llamas Ruiz is scheduled to begin on Saturday at 5:00 AM ET.
- Who: Corentin Moutet vs. Pablo Llamas Ruiz
- Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
- Approx. Time: 5:00 AM ET/2:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Rome, Italy Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 64
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Corentin Moutet, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat Pablo Llamas Ruiz at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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