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Avalanche vs. Penguins prediction: Why Colorado is favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [3/24/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Colorado Avalanche vs Pittsburgh Penguins predictions for NHL Tuesday.
NHL action continues on Tuesday at 7:00 PM ET as the Colorado Avalanche lock horns with the Pittsburgh Penguins at PPG Paints Arena.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model predicts the Avalanche as the most likely winner of the Avalanche vs. Penguins game.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Avs vs. Penguins prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NHL game between the Avalanche and Penguins 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Avalanche a 59% chance of defeating the Penguins.
According to our model, the Penguins (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.
Avalanche vs. Penguins odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Avalanche | Penguins |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+142) | +1.5 (-160) |
| Moneyline | -170 | +145 |
| Total | o6.5 (-118) | u6.5 (+105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Avalanche vs. Penguins picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Penguins +1.5 | -160 |
| Moneyline | Penguins | +145 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | +105 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Avalanche vs. Penguins player props
Who will score a goal in Avalanche vs. Penguins?
According to our model, Martin Necas is most likely to score an anytime goal in Avalanche vs. Penguins.
Our projections give Necas a 35.1% chance of scoring a goal at PPG Paints Arena, while the star is a 6.5% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Martin Necas | 35.1% |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 29.6% |
| Brock Nelson | 28.9% |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 28.8% |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 27.7% |
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Bryan Rust | 30.4% |
| Sidney Crosby | 28.8% |
| Rickard Rakell | 26.7% |
| Yegor Chinakhov | 26.3% |
| Anthony Mantha | 24.8% |
First goal scorer predictions
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Martin Necas | 6.5% |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 5.6% |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 5.5% |
| Brock Nelson | 5.0% |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 5.0% |
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Sidney Crosby | 5.6% |
| Bryan Rust | 5.6% |
| Rickard Rakell | 5.3% |
| Yegor Chinakhov | 4.8% |
| Anthony Mantha | 4.6% |
Avs vs. Penguins game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's game between the Penguins and Avalanche at PPG Paints Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Colorado Avalanche vs. Pittsburgh Penguins
- Date: Tuesday, March 24, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: PPG Paints Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Avalanche, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Penguins on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Avalanche vs. Penguins insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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