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Avalanche vs. Oilers prediction: Why Colorado is favored to win Monday's NHL matchup [4/13/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Colorado Avalanche vs Edmonton Oilers predictions for NHL Monday.
The Edmonton Oilers will take on the Colorado Avalanche, in what is expected to be a tight NHL game, at Rogers Place on Monday, beginning at 9:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model gives the Avalanche a slight edge with a 54% win probability over the Oilers.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's Avalanche vs. Oilers matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Avs vs. Oilers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NHL matchup between the Avalanche and Oilers, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Avalanche a 54% chance of defeating the Oilers.
According to our model, the Oilers (+1.5) have a 67% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.
Avalanche vs. Oilers odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Avalanche | Oilers |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+198) | +1.5 (-235) |
| Moneyline | -120 | +105 |
| Total | o6.5 (-115) | u6.5 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Avalanche vs. Oilers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Avalanche -1.5 | +198 |
| Moneyline | Avalanche | -120 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | +100 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Avalanche vs. Oilers player props
Who will score a goal in Avalanche vs. Oilers?
According to our model, Connor McDavid is most likely to score an anytime goal in Avalanche vs. Oilers.
Our projections give McDavid a 42.4% chance of scoring a goal at Rogers Place, while the star is an 8.7% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Martin Necas | 38.4% |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 35.4% |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 29.0% |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 28.0% |
| Brock Nelson | 27.4% |
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Connor McDavid | 42.4% |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 25.7% |
| Jack Roslovic | 25.2% |
| Matt Savoie | 22.5% |
| Evan Bouchard | 18.6% |
First goal scorer predictions
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnon | 7.4% |
| Martin Necas | 7.0% |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 5.3% |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 5.0% |
| Brock Nelson | 4.9% |
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Connor McDavid | 8.7% |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 4.5% |
| Jack Roslovic | 4.5% |
| Matt Savoie | 3.8% |
| Evan Bouchard | 3.0% |
Avs vs. Oilers game-day updates and essential details
Monday's game between the Oilers and Avalanche at Rogers Place is scheduled to begin at 9:30 PM ET.
- Who: Colorado Avalanche vs. Edmonton Oilers
- Date: Monday, April 13, 2026
- Time: 9:30 PM ET/6:30PM PT
- Venue: Rogers Place
Conclusion
We predict the Avalanche, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Oilers in Monday's NHL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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