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Avalanche vs. Flames prediction: Why Colorado is favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [4/14/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Colorado Avalanche vs Calgary Flames predictions for NHL Tuesday.
NHL action continues on Tuesday at 9:00 PM ET as the Colorado Avalanche lock horns with the Calgary Flames at Scotiabank Saddledome.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model projects the Avalanche as the most likely winner of the Avalanche vs. Flames game.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Avs vs. Flames prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NHL matchup between the Avalanche and Flames, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Avalanche a 59% chance of defeating the Flames.
According to our model, the Flames (+1.5) have a 63% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 55% chance of staying under.
Avalanche vs. Flames odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Avalanche | Flames |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+165) | +1.5 (-198) |
| Moneyline | -145 | +124 |
| Total | o6.5 (+104) | u6.5 (+105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Avalanche vs. Flames picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Avalanche -1.5 | +165 |
| Moneyline | Avalanche | -145 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | +105 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Avalanche vs. Flames player props
Who will score a goal in Avalanche vs. Flames?
According to our model, Martin Necas is most likely to score an anytime goal in Avalanche vs. Flames.
Our projections give Necas a 43.2% chance of scoring a goal at Scotiabank Saddledome, while the star is a 9.7% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Martin Necas | 43.2% |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 38.7% |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 31.6% |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 30.7% |
| Brock Nelson | 30.0% |
Calgary Flames
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Morgan Frost | 25.2% |
| Yegor Sharangovich | 23.8% |
| Blake Coleman | 20.9% |
| Victor Olofsson | 20.8% |
| Matvei Gridin | 20.3% |
First goal scorer predictions
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Martin Necas | 9.7% |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 7.9% |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 6.2% |
| Brock Nelson | 5.7% |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 5.5% |
Calgary Flames
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Morgan Frost | 4.6% |
| Yegor Sharangovich | 4.5% |
| Matvei Gridin | 4.0% |
| Blake Coleman | 4.0% |
| Joel Farabee | 3.5% |
Avs vs. Flames game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's matchup between the Flames and Avalanche at Scotiabank Saddledome is scheduled to start at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Colorado Avalanche vs. Calgary Flames
- Date: Tuesday, April 14, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Scotiabank Saddledome
Conclusion
We predict the Avalanche, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Flames in Tuesday's NHL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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