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Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights prediction: Vegas favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [3/14/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Chicago Blackhawks vs Vegas Golden Knights predictions for NHL Saturday.
The Vegas Golden Knights and Chicago Blackhawks will meet in the NHL at T-Mobile Arena on Saturday, with puck drop at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model predicts the Golden Knights as the most likely winner of the Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Hawks vs. Golden Knights prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NHL matchup between the Blackhawks and Golden Knights 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Golden Knights a 65% chance of beating the Blackhawks.
According to our model, the Blackhawks (+1.5) have a 57% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Blackhawks | Golden Knights |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-130) | -1.5 (+112) |
| Moneyline | +190 | -220 |
| Total | o6 (-110) | u6 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Blackhawks +1.5 | -130 |
| Moneyline | Blackhawks | +190 |
| Total | Over 6 | -110 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Blackhawks +1.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights player props
Who will score a goal in Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights?
According to our model, Pavel Dorofeyev is most likely to score an anytime goal in Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights.
Our projections give Dorofeyev a 40.6% chance of scoring a goal at T-Mobile Arena, while the star is an 8.0% chance of registering the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Chicago Blackhawks
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Connor Bedard | 33.8% |
| Frank Nazar | 27.6% |
| Ilya Mikheyev | 24.7% |
| Ryan Donato | 21.9% |
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 21.8% |
Vegas Golden Knights
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Pavel Dorofeyev | 40.6% |
| Jack Eichel | 39.2% |
| Tomas Hertl | 31.3% |
| Mitch Marner | 29.8% |
| Ivan Barbashev | 29.0% |
First goal scorer predictions
Chicago Blackhawks
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Connor Bedard | 6.4% |
| Frank Nazar | 5.4% |
| Ilya Mikheyev | 5.0% |
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 4.0% |
| Ryan Donato | 4.0% |
Vegas Golden Knights
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Pavel Dorofeyev | 8.0% |
| Jack Eichel | 7.7% |
| Tomas Hertl | 6.5% |
| Mitch Marner | 5.8% |
| Ivan Barbashev | 5.3% |
Hawks vs. Golden Knights game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between the Golden Knights and Blackhawks at T-Mobile Arena is scheduled to start at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Chicago Blackhawks vs. Vegas Golden Knights
- Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: T-Mobile Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Golden Knights, with a 65% win probability, will likely beat the Blackhawks on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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