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Blackhawks vs. Oilers prediction: Why Edmonton is favored to win Thursday's NHL matchup [4/2/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Chicago Blackhawks vs Edmonton Oilers predictions for NHL Thursday.
The Edmonton Oilers and Chicago Blackhawks will meet in the NHL at Rogers Place on Thursday, starting at 9:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Oilers as the most likely winner of the Blackhawks vs. Oilers game.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Hawks vs. Oilers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NHL game between the Blackhawks and Oilers, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Oilers a 67% chance of beating the Blackhawks.
According to our model, the Blackhawks (+1.5) have a 55% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 52% chance of staying under.
Blackhawks vs. Oilers odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Blackhawks | Oilers |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-120) | -1.5 (+112) |
| Moneyline | +200 | -230 |
| Total | o6.5 (-112) | u6.5 (-102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Blackhawks vs. Oilers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Blackhawks +1.5 | -120 |
| Moneyline | Blackhawks | +200 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | -102 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Blackhawks vs. Oilers player props
Who will score a goal in Blackhawks vs. Oilers?
According to our model, Connor McDavid is most likely to score an anytime goal in Blackhawks vs. Oilers.
Our projections give McDavid a 43.9% chance of scoring a goal at Rogers Place, while the star is an 8.7% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Chicago Blackhawks
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Connor Bedard | 32.8% |
| Frank Nazar | 27.9% |
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 25.3% |
| Ilya Mikheyev | 25.1% |
| Ryan Donato | 20.9% |
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Connor McDavid | 43.9% |
| Zach Hyman | 42.1% |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 26.1% |
| Jack Roslovic | 25.9% |
| Evan Bouchard | 22.6% |
First goal scorer predictions
Chicago Blackhawks
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Connor Bedard | 6.8% |
| Frank Nazar | 5.2% |
| Ilya Mikheyev | 5.1% |
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 4.4% |
| Ryan Donato | 3.9% |
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Zach Hyman | 9.3% |
| Connor McDavid | 8.7% |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 4.9% |
| Jack Roslovic | 4.3% |
| Evan Bouchard | 4.0% |
Hawks vs. Oilers game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's matchup between the Oilers and Blackhawks at Rogers Place is scheduled to commence at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Chicago Blackhawks vs. Edmonton Oilers
- Date: Thursday, April 2, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Rogers Place
Conclusion
We predict the Oilers, with a 67% win probability, will likely beat the Blackhawks on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Blackhawks vs. Oilers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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