Blackhawks vs. Avalanche prediction: Why Colorado is favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [2/28/2026]

The Colorado Avalanche will square off with the Chicago Blackhawks in NHL action at Ball Arena on Saturday, commencing at 6:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model projects the Avalanche as the most likely winner of the Blackhawks vs. Avalanche game.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Hawks vs. Avs prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NHL game between the Blackhawks and Avalanche 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Avalanche a 72% chance of beating the Blackhawks.

According to our model, the Avalanche (-1.5) have a 51% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.

Blackhawks vs. Avalanche odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Blackhawks	Avalanche
Puck Line	+1.5 (+110)	-1.5 (-130)
Moneyline	+280	-335
Total	o6.5 (+102)	u6.5 (-120)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Blackhawks vs. Avalanche picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Blackhawks +1.5	+110
Moneyline	Blackhawks	+280
Total	Under 6.5	-120

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Blackhawks +1.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Blackhawks vs. Avalanche player props

Who will score a goal in Blackhawks vs. Avalanche?

According to our model, Brock Nelson is most likely to score an anytime goal in Blackhawks vs. Avalanche.

Our projections give Nelson a 37.4% chance of scoring a goal at Ball Arena, while the star is a 7.2% chance of registering the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Chicago Blackhawks

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Connor Bedard	28.5%
Ilya Mikheyev	25.3%
Frank Nazar	24.4%
Tyler Bertuzzi	23.6%
Ryan Donato	18.1%

Colorado Avalanche

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Brock Nelson	37.4%
Nathan MacKinnon	35.4%
Gabriel Landeskog	32.7%
Valeri Nichushkin	31.0%
Martin Necas	30.5%

First goal scorer predictions

Chicago Blackhawks

Player	First Goal Probability
Connor Bedard	4.9%
Ilya Mikheyev	4.7%
Frank Nazar	4.3%
Tyler Bertuzzi	4.3%
Ryan Donato	3.1%

Colorado Avalanche

Player	First Goal Probability
Brock Nelson	7.2%
Nathan MacKinnon	6.9%
Valeri Nichushkin	6.6%
Gabriel Landeskog	6.6%
Martin Necas	5.8%

Hawks vs. Avs game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's matchup between the Avalanche and Blackhawks at Ball Arena is scheduled to start at 6:00 PM ET.

• Who: Chicago Blackhawks vs. Colorado Avalanche
• Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
• Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
• Venue: Ball Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Avalanche, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat the Blackhawks on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Blackhawks vs. Avalanche insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.