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Chelsea vs. Brentford prediction, odds, Premier League picks [1/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Chelsea vs Brentford predictions for Premier League Saturday.
Chelsea will take on Brentford in Premier League action at Stamford Bridge on Saturday, starting at 10:00 AM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven Premier League model predicts Chelsea as the most likely winner of the Chelsea vs. Brentford game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Chelsea vs. Brentford prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Premier League match between Chelsea and Brentford 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently suggests a 59.0% chance of Chelsea winning, a 19.9% chance for Brentford, and a 21.2% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 60% chance of going over, according to our model.
Chelsea vs. Brentford odds
We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Chelsea | Brentford | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -140 | +380 | +300 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -158 | +130 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Chelsea vs. Brentford picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chelsea | -140 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -158 |
According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Chelsea to win.
Chelsea vs. Brentford: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-1 Chelsea win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| CHE 2-1 BRE | 9.9% |
| CHE 1-1 BRE | 9.8% |
| CHE 2-0 BRE | 9.1% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 57.7% chance that both teams scoring, and a 42.3% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations.
Chelsea vs. Brentford game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Premier League matchup between Chelsea and Brentford at Stamford Bridge is scheduled to start in the USA at 10:00 AM ET.
- Who: Chelsea vs. Brentford
- Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
- Time: 10:00 AM ET/7:00AM PT
- Venue: Stamford Bridge
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Chelsea has a 59.0% win probability on Saturday, Brentford has a 19.9% win probability, and there is a 21.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Chelsea vs. Brentford insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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