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Caty McNally vs. Iga Swiatek prediction, odds, picks for WTA Italian Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get McNally vs Swiatek predictions for WTA Italian Open.
Caty McNally will square off with Iga Swiatek in the round of 64 at the WTA Rome event on Friday.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Iga Swiatek as the most likely winner of the McNally vs. Swiatek match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
McNally vs. Swiatek prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's McNally-Swiatek women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Swiatek an 85% chance of winning against McNally at the WTA Italian Open tournament.
Additionally, Swiatek has a 79% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show McNally (+6.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 17.5 games has a 60% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Caty McNally vs. Iga Swiatek odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | McNally | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +770 | -909 |
| First Set | +400 | -625 |
| Game Spread | +6.5 (-110) | -6.5 (-122) |
| Total Games | o17.5 (-138) | u17.5 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
McNally vs. Swiatek picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | McNally | +770 |
| First Set | Swiatek | -138 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 17.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
McNally vs. Swiatek updates and essential details
The WTA Italian Open match between Caty McNally and Iga Swiatek is scheduled to commence on Friday at 4:00 AM ET.
- Who: Caty McNally vs. Iga Swiatek
- Date: Friday, May 8, 2026
- Approx. Time: 4:00 AM ET/1:00AM PT
- Tournament: WTA Rome, Italy Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 64
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Iga Swiatek, with an 85% win probability, will likely beat Caty McNally at the WTA Italian Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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