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Read Article Caty McNally vs. Daria Kasatkina prediction, odds, picks for WTA Italian Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get McNally vs Kasatkina predictions for WTA Italian Open.
Caty McNally and Daria Kasatkina will meet in the round of 128 of the WTA Italian Open event on Wednesday.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model projects Daria Kasatkina as the most likely winner of the McNally vs. Kasatkina match.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
McNally vs. Kasatkina prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's McNally-Kasatkina women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives Kasatkina a 52% chance of beating McNally at the WTA Italian Open tournament.
Additionally, Kasatkina has a 52% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show McNally (+0.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 21.5 games has a 51% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Caty McNally vs. Daria Kasatkina odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | McNally | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +102 | -119 |
| First Set | -111 | -111 |
| Game Spread | +0.5 (-110) | -0.5 (-120) |
| Total Games | o21.5 (-110) | u21.5 (-130) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
McNally vs. Kasatkina picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | McNally | +102 |
| First Set | Kasatkina | -110 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 21.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
McNally vs. Kasatkina updates and essential details
The WTA Italian Open match between Caty McNally and Daria Kasatkina is scheduled to begin on Wednesday at 2:00 PM ET.
- Who: Caty McNally vs. Daria Kasatkina
- Date: Wednesday, May 6, 2026
- Approx. Time: 2:00 PM ET/11:00AM PT
- Tournament: WTA Rome, Italy Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 128
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Daria Kasatkina, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat Caty McNally at the WTA Italian Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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