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Flames vs. Stars prediction: Dallas favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [4/7/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Calgary Flames vs Dallas Stars predictions for NHL Tuesday.
The Dallas Stars and Calgary Flames will lock horns in the NHL at American Airlines Center on Tuesday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Stars as the most likely winner of the Flames vs. Stars game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Flames vs. Stars prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NHL game between the Flames and Stars, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Stars a 66% chance of beating the Flames.
According to our model, the Flames (+1.5) have a 57% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has a 54% chance of going over.
Flames vs. Stars odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Flames | Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-125) | -1.5 (+105) |
| Moneyline | +205 | -245 |
| Total | o5.5 (-128) | u5.5 (+110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Flames vs. Stars picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Flames +1.5 | -125 |
| Moneyline | Flames | +205 |
| Total | Under 5.5 | +110 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Flames to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Flames vs. Stars player props
Who will score a goal in Flames vs. Stars?
According to our model, Wyatt Johnston is most likely to score an anytime goal in Flames vs. Stars.
Our projections give Johnston a 40.1% chance of scoring a goal at American Airlines Center, while the star is a 9.0% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Calgary Flames
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Yegor Sharangovich | 23.5% |
| Morgan Frost | 21.6% |
| Matthew Coronato | 20.5% |
| Victor Olofsson | 20.1% |
| Blake Coleman | 20.0% |
Dallas Stars
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Wyatt Johnston | 40.1% |
| Mikko Rantanen | 39.3% |
| Jason Robertson | 39.3% |
| Matt Duchene | 26.9% |
| Mavrik Bourque | 23.7% |
First goal scorer predictions
Calgary Flames
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Yegor Sharangovich | 4.5% |
| Morgan Frost | 4.2% |
| Victor Olofsson | 4.1% |
| Matthew Coronato | 3.8% |
| Blake Coleman | 3.7% |
Dallas Stars
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Wyatt Johnston | 9.0% |
| Mikko Rantanen | 8.3% |
| Jason Robertson | 8.2% |
| Matt Duchene | 5.1% |
| Mavrik Bourque | 4.1% |
Flames vs. Stars game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's game between the Stars and Flames at American Airlines Center is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Calgary Flames vs. Dallas Stars
- Date: Tuesday, April 7, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: American Airlines Center
Conclusion
We predict the Stars, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat the Flames on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Flames vs. Stars insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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