Flames vs. Avalanche prediction: Why Colorado is favored to win Monday's NHL matchup [3/30/2026]

NHL action continues on Monday at 8:30 PM ET as the Calgary Flames face off with the favored Colorado Avalanche at Ball Arena.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model projects the Avalanche as the most likely winner of the Flames vs. Avalanche game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Flames vs. Avs prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's NHL matchup between the Flames and Avalanche, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Avalanche a 72% chance of defeating the Flames.

According to our model, the Avalanche (-1.5) have a 51% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of six goals has a 51% chance of staying under.

Flames vs. Avalanche odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Flames	Avalanche
Puck Line	+1.5 (+128)	-1.5 (-148)
Moneyline	+330	-375
Total	o6 (-120)	u6 (+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Flames vs. Avalanche picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Flames +1.5	+128
Moneyline	Flames	+330
Total	Under 6	+100

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Flames +1.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Flames vs. Avalanche player props

Who will score a goal in Flames vs. Avalanche?

According to our model, Martin Necas is most likely to score an anytime goal in Flames vs. Avalanche.

Our projections give Necas a 36.2% chance of scoring a goal at Ball Arena, while the star is a 7.4% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Calgary Flames

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Yegor Sharangovich	21.4%
Matthew Coronato	21.3%
Victor Olofsson	19.9%
Matvei Gridin	19.7%
Morgan Frost	19.4%

Colorado Avalanche

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Martin Necas	36.2%
Nathan MacKinnon	35.0%
Valeri Nichushkin	26.9%
Brock Nelson	26.5%
Gabriel Landeskog	26.0%

First goal scorer predictions

Calgary Flames

Player	First Goal Probability
Matvei Gridin	4.0%
Matthew Coronato	4.0%
Victor Olofsson	3.9%
Yegor Sharangovich	3.8%
Morgan Frost	3.4%

Colorado Avalanche

Player	First Goal Probability
Nathan MacKinnon	7.7%
Martin Necas	7.4%
Valeri Nichushkin	5.5%
Brock Nelson	5.4%
Nazem Kadri	5.3%

Flames vs. Avs game-day updates and essential details

Monday's action between the Avalanche and Flames at Ball Arena is scheduled to start at 8:30 PM ET.

• Who: Calgary Flames vs. Colorado Avalanche
• Date: Monday, March 30, 2026
• Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
• Venue: Ball Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Avalanche, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat the Flames on Monday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Flames vs. Avalanche insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.