Bills vs. Dolphins Week 3 Prediction and Odds - Sep 25, 2022

The Miami Dolphins take on the Buffalo Bills in NFL Week 3 action at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers' top betting picks for Bills vs. Dolphins, plus game predictions, betting odds and projected player stats, are featured in this article.

This Buffalo vs. Miami betting preview is sponsored by FanDuel Sportsbook, which has an outstanding No Sweat First Bet promo for new users.


Who will win Bills vs. Dolphins?

Based on advanced computer power and data, has simulated Sunday's Bills-Dolphins NFL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' famous predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Bills a 60% chance of defeating the Dolphins in Week 3 of the NFL season.

More: Bills vs. Dolphins Simulated 10K Times

Bills vs. Dolphins Current Odds

  • Spread: Dolphins +4.5 (-107), Bills -4.5 (-107)
  • Moneyline: Dolphins +175, Bills -195
  • Total: Over/Under 54.5 (-110/-110)

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Dolphins are listed as +4.5 underdogs versus the Bills, with -107 at PointsBet the best odds currently available.

For the favored Bills (-4.5) to cover the spread, PointsBet also has the best odds currently on the market at -107.

PointsBet currently has the best moneyline odds for the Dolphins at +175, which means you can bet $100 to profit $175, earning a total payout of $275, if they win.

On the other hand, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Bills at -195, where you can risk $195 to win $100, for a total payout of $295, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under is set at 54.5 with BetMGM, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, as well as the best odds for the Under at -110.

As always, make sure you check all the online sportsbooks available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Dolphins (+4.5) are a 60% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 54.5 points is a 54% chance of going Under.

More: Free Prop Picks

Best Bets for Bills vs. Dolphins

  • Spread: Dolphins +4.5 @ -107 via PointsBet (60% probability) 🔥
  • Moneyline: Dolphins @ +175 via PointsBet (3.8% edge)
  • Total: Under 54.5 @ -110 via BetMGM (54% probability)


If you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best bets of the day across all major pro and college sports.

Our best bets are based on complex modeling and wagering expertise to bring you the best possible plays every time.

While the Bills are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, betting on the Dolphins moneyline is the best option because of the 3.8% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published on is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.

Bills vs. Dolphins Prediction's predicted final score for Buffalo vs. Miami at Hard Rock Stadium in Week 3 has the Bills winning 28-25.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more.


Dimers has full coverage of this week's Bills-Dolphins matchup in Week 3, including pregame predictions, computer picks, and live win probabilities.

Bills vs. Dolphins Player Props

Who will score the first touchdown in Bills vs. Dolphins? The data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Bills and Dolphins, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you choose the best prop picks for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Buffalo's Stefon Diggs is most likely to score the first TD in Bills vs. Dolphins.

DimersBOT gives Diggs a 10.9% chance of getting in for six first at Hard Rock Stadium, while the Bills WR is a 50.5% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for our full list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.


First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Buffalo Bills

  • Stefon Diggs: 10.9% probability
  • Gabe Davis: 8.1% probability
  • Josh Allen: 7.7% probability
  • Devin Singletary: 6.0% probability
  • Dawson Knox: 5.9% probability

Miami Dolphins

  • Tyreek Hill: 10.5% probability
  • Jaylen Waddle: 8.9% probability
  • Raheem Mostert: 7.0% probability
  • Chase Edmonds: 5.0% probability
  • Mike Gesicki: 3.5% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Buffalo Bills

  • Stefon Diggs: 50.5% probability
  • Gabe Davis: 39.3% probability
  • Josh Allen: 38.6% probability
  • Dawson Knox: 31.0% probability
  • Devin Singletary: 31.0% probability

Miami Dolphins

  • Tyreek Hill: 49.9% probability
  • Jaylen Waddle: 44.6% probability
  • Raheem Mostert: 36.8% probability
  • Chase Edmonds: 28.6% probability
  • Mike Gesicki: 19.2% probability

Bills-Dolphins Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bills' Josh Allen is projected to have a big game with 266 passing yards, while the Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa is expected to throw for 259 yards.

Bills Starting QB

  • Josh Allen: 266 projected yards

Dolphins Starting QB

  • Tua Tagovailoa: 259 projected yards

Bills Rushing

  • Devin Singletary: 51 projected yards
  • Josh Allen: 48 projected yards
  • Zack Moss: 22 projected yards

Dolphins Rushing

  • Raheem Mostert: 51 projected yards
  • Chase Edmonds: 27 projected yards
  • Tua Tagovailoa: 11 projected yards

Bills Receiving

  • Stefon Diggs: 90 projected yards
  • Gabe Davis: 65 projected yards
  • Dawson Knox: 38 projected yards
  • Jamison Crowder: 29 projected yards
  • Isaiah McKenzie: 24 projected yards

Dolphins Receiving

  • Tyreek Hill: 91 projected yards
  • Jaylen Waddle: 72 projected yards
  • Mike Gesicki: 32 projected yards
  • Chase Edmonds: 28 projected yards
  • Cedrick Wilson: 25 projected yards

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before Bills vs. Dolphins on Sunday September 25, 2022.


Bills vs. Dolphins 2022

The NFL Week 3 matchup between the Dolphins and Bills at Hard Rock Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.

  • Who: Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins
  • Date: Sunday September 25, 2022
  • Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
  • Venue: Hard Rock Stadium

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Want more NFL analysis like this?

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So, get ahead of the game and beat the bookies today – it's only a click away.

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