It's time to hit the props with our daily NBA Player Prop picks for Sunday.
So how do our player prop picks work exactly?
Well, our predictive analytics model has crunched the numbers ahead of tonight's games, giving us the likely stats projections which we've matched up against the sportsbook lines to find the biggest differential and edge for you to make a play on. While this article contains the best edges that we've found against the books, you can run this exercise yourself by looking in the Pre-Game Predictions tab of the game of your choice in the NBA Bet Hub.
With NBA betting picks, probabilities, odds and predicted scores featured each and every day, check out our top NBA player prop picks for tonight's games.
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It's Sunday, April 18. Here is what the data is telling us for tonight's NBA player props ⏬
PLAYER: Zion Williamson
BET:🔥 OVER 26.5 points with PointsBet (-112)
We have a simple rule here at Dimers. We take it so seriously that we have all of our staff writers sign a vow when they start working here that if they write the daily NBA Player Props article and it's a day that Zion Williamson is playing, you must smash the Over.
So, to keep my bosses happy, and to make sure that I don't find myself lining up for unemployment on Monday, here it is: ZION IS GOING OVER!
All jokes aside, Williamson is a beast, and lucky for us, the sportsbooks have slightly reduced his point prop line back to 26.5 after two down games, which is perfect for us with the Pels coming up a Knicks side who is pretty evenly matched. This man will not stay down for long. We've got him projected for 31.
PLAYER: Bogdan Bogdanovic
BET:🔥 OVER 17.5 points with FanDuel Sportsbook (-118)
Don't sleep on Bogdan! He's scored 21+ points in eight of his last ten which indicates this point prop line is waaaaaay off by the sportsbooks. We're diving in.
PLAYER: Lu Dort
BET:🔥 UNDER 4.5 rebounds with PointsBet (+114)
Some value is on offer here with the Thunder's Lu Dort projecting to go under his rebound total at some very delicious + odds. With Moses Brown carrying most of the rebounding load for OKC, expect him to steal some boards off Dort.
PLAYER: De'Aaron Fox
BET:🔥OVER 27.5 points with BetMGM (-114)
Fox has found his rhythm in recents weeks and is putting up some video game scoring numbers. Our projections have him down for 29, eclipsing his sportsbook line, but he could well and truly go for even more. The Sacramento Kings guard is averaging 33.25 points in his last four games.
🔥 Williamson o26.5 points
🔥 Bogdanovic o17.5 points
🔥 Dort u4.5 rebounds
🔥 Fox o27.5 points
💰 Parlay with FanDuel Sportsbook (+1305)