Well, hot damn! Another clean sweep for our NBA prop plays last night, going 4-0, which included cashing a mega parlay at +1046! We're feeling hotter than James Harden at a strip club on 2-for-1 lap dance night as we dive into Saturday with a hunger for more!
So how do our player prop picks work exactly?
Well, our predictive analytics model has crunched the numbers ahead of tonight's games, giving us the likely stats projections which we've matched up against the sportsbook lines to find the biggest differential and edge for you to make a play on. While this article contains the best edges that we've found against the books, you can run this exercise yourself by looking in the Pre-Game Predictions tab of the game of your choice in the NBA Bet Hub.
With NBA betting picks, probabilities, odds and predicted scores featured each and every day, check out our top NBA player prop picks for tonight's games.
Your favorite player not here? Find player projections for every game tonight via our NBA Bet Hub where we deliver you predictions and suggested bets, based on the edge we've identified against the sportsbooks' odds.
Almost ready to join a sportsbook and start betting online?
We’ve listed the best available sign-up bonus offers for each legal betting state at the bottom of this article!
It's Saturday, April 10 and here is what the data is telling us for tonight's NBA player props ⏬
PLAYER: Mike Conley
BET:🔥 UNDER 17.5 points with William Hill Sportsbook (-108)
The Sacramento Kings are going to have their work cut out for them on the road against the Western Conference leaders, and that - as well as the play of Donovan Mitchell - has us a little skeptical about whether Utah guard Mike Conley can do enough to reach 18 points.
As per our game projections, we have the Jazz winning this by double digits which could result in the big stars for Utah taking a seat for extended minutes at the end of the game. To add to that, Donovan Mitchell is currently on a scoring tear with games of 41 and 37 points respectively. With someone on a hot streak like that, expect Mitchell to put up a lot of shots which will come at the expense of Conley's production who had 11 points in each of those last two games.
MORE: Kings @ Jazz predictions
For a play like this, it's hard to look past this offer from William Hill Sportsbook who are giving new customers in certain states a RISK-FREE bet up to $2021 - see if your state is one of them here. Basically, you can deposit as much or as little as you like (we recommend around $50) and then place your bet on the UNDER. If our Conley pick hits, you cash in! If not, that's okay - they'll give you your money back to use again on another bet.
PLAYER: Kelly Oubre
BET:🔥 OVER 16.5 points with FanDuel Sportsbook (-116)
It's plain and obvious to see that the Warriors are mostly a one-man band, and the 'books know it too with Steph Curry's points total line set to a phenomenally high 31.5 points. For us that's just too much to take on, so we're looking elsewhere, in the direction of Kelly Oubre Jr.
Oubre is having a nice little moment, scoring 18 points or more in six of his last nine games, including in each of his past three - all games that Steph Curry took part in after returning from that tailbone injury. The small forward out of Kansas appears to be the perfect sidekick for Curry and we like him to cover the total tonight. Our projections have him in 18.
PLAYER: CJ McCollum
BET:🔥 OVER 21.5 points with PointsBet (-114)
A nice big differential here between our projected numbers and the sportsbook lines, we've got CJ pouring in 25, easily accounting for his 21.5 prop line. The Portland Trail Blazers shooting guard has hit 22 points or more in five of his last eight games, including a 24-point performance against the Detroit Pistons who the Blazers played back on March 31. For a man who is getting off an average of 18.5 shots a game, the only thing standing in our way of cashing this one is field goal accuracy - a stat where Detroit rank in the league's bottom four, allowing opponents to shoot 47.8%.
PLAYER: Devin Booker
BET:🔥 OVER 32.5 points+rebounds with FanDuel Sportsbook (-122)
Book has been on a hot streak. The man who is most likely to be named the Western Conference Player of the Week has averaged 31.7 and 3.7 rebounds in his last four games which will be more than enough to see our bet through if we see more of the same against the Washington Wizards. We're anticipating quite the show down between he and Wizards guard Bradley Beal. Expect fireworks.
🔥 Conley u17.5 points
🔥 Oubre o16.5 points
🔥 McCollum o21.5 points
🔥 Devin Booker o32.5 Points + Rebounds
💰 Parlay with FanDuel Sportsbook (+1125)