Best bets today for all sports: Sunday's picks include Swans vs. Bombers AFL play [8/16/2026]
Get the best bets for Sunday, August 16, 2026.
Today’s best sports bets for August 16, 2026 are here, with Swans vs. Bombers in the AFL and Iga Swiatek vs. Emiliana Arango on the WTA Tour among the top plays identified by our model across Sunday’s schedule.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, searching the latest odds to uncover top betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of best bets for today [8/16, updated 2:06AM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 best bets, ranked by edge for Sunday, August 16, 2026.
AFL: Swans -10.5 (+105)
- Edge: 31.6%
- Probability: 80.3%
- AFL matchup: Swans vs. Bombers (2:40AM ET)
Our model has identified value on Swans -10.5 at +105 odds. A 80.3% probability produces an edge of 31.6%, making this the strongest play for today's sports action.
Tennis: Emiliana Arango +7.5 games (+104)
- Edge: 17.4%
- Probability: 66.4%
- Tennis matchup: Iga Swiatek vs. Emiliana Arango (12:10PM ET)
At WTA Cincinnati Open, Emiliana Arango +7.5 games carries a 17.4% edge and a probability of 66.4% at +104 odds, according to our model.
Tennis: Emiliana Arango vs. Iga Swiatek Over 16.5 total games (-106)
- Edge: 17.3%
- Probability: 68.8%
- Tennis Matchup: Iga Swiatek vs. Emiliana Arango (12:10PM ET)
Emiliana Arango vs. Iga Swiatek Over 16.5 total games at -106 odds shows a 17.3% edge, supported by a 68.8% probability in simulations of the WTA Cincinnati Open match.
Tennis: Sofia Kenin vs. Marta Kostyuk over 18.5 total games (-122)
- Edge: 8.2%
- Probability: 63.1%
- Tennis Matchup: Marta Kostyuk vs. Sofia Kenin (1:20PM ET)
An 8.2% edge and 63.1% probability make Sofia Kenin vs. Marta Kostyuk over 18.5 total games a value play in the Marta Kostyuk vs. Sofia Kenin matchup, per our model.
MLB: Yankees vs. Blue Jays Over 7.5 runs (+115)
- Edge: 8.0%
- Probability: 54.6%
- MLB Matchup: Yankees vs. Blue Jays (1:37PM ET)
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Over 7.5 runs at +115 odds presents a 8.0% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 54.6%.
WNBA: Dream ML (-117)
- Edge: 7.8%
- Probability: 61.8%
- WNBA Matchup: Fever vs. Dream (5:00PM ET)
Our model finds value on Dream to win at -117 odds, supported by an edge of 7.8%.
WNBA: Mercury ML (-194)
- Edge: 7.4%
- Probability: 73.4%
- WNBA Matchup: Fire vs. Mercury (7:00PM ET)
Our model has uncovered value on Fire-Mercury to finish as a tie after 90 minutes at -194 odds. A 73.4% probability produces a 7.4% edge, making this a strong play for today's WNBA action.
Tennis: Sofia Kenin +6.5 (-140)
- Edge: 7.3%
- Probability: 65.7%
- Tennis Matchup: Marta Kostyuk vs. Sofia Kenin (1:20PM ET)
A 7.3% edge on a 65.7% probability makes Sofia Kenin +6.5 at -140 odds a solid value play in this WTA Cincinnati Open matchup.
Tennis: Ben Shelton -5.5 (+260)
- Edge: 7.1%
- Probability: 34.8%
- Tennis Matchup: Ben Shelton vs. Jaime Faria (7:00PM ET)
Our model projects value on Ben Shelton -5.5 at +260 odds. A 34.8% probability produces a 7.1% edge, making Ben Shelton the favorable side in today's ATP Cincinnati Open tennis matchup.
Tennis: Brandon Nakashima -3.5 (-110)
- Edge: 6.5%
- Probability: 58.8%
- Tennis Matchup: Brandon Nakashima vs. Aleksandar Kovacevic (1:20PM ET)
Rounding out our top 10 bets, Brandon Nakashima -3.5 at -110 odds shows a 58.8% probability and a 6.5% edge.
Best sports bets today summary: Sunday, 8/16/2026
As of 2:06AM ET, here are our top bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swans vs. Bombers (AFL) | Swans -10.5 | +105 @ DraftKings | 31.6% | 80.3% |
| Swiatek vs. Arango (Tennis) | Emiliana Arango +7.5 games | +104 @ FanDuel | 17.4% | 66.4% |
| Swiatek vs. Arango (Tennis) | Over 16.5 Total Games | -106 @ FanDuel | 17.3% | 68.8% |
| Kostyuk vs. Kenin (Tennis) | Over 18.5 total games | -122 @ FanDuel | 8.2% | 63.1% |
| Yankees vs. Blue Jays (MLB) | Over 7.5 Runs | +115 @ Novig | 8.0% | 54.6% |
| Fever vs. Dream (WNBA) | Dream ML | -117 @ Novig | 7.8% | 61.8% |
| Fire vs. Mercury (WNBA) | Mercury ML | -194 @ Polymarket | 7.4% | 73.4% |
| Kostyuk vs. Kenin (Tennis) | Sofia Kenin +6.5 Games | -140 @ FanDuel | 7.3% | 65.7% |
| Shelton vs. Faria (Tennis) | Ben Shelton -5.5 Games | +260 @ FanDuel | 7.1% | 34.8% |
| Nakashima vs. Kovacevic (Tennis) | Brandon Nakashima -3.5 Games | -110 @ FanDuel | 6.5% | 58.8% |
List of upcoming events to bet on now [8/16/2026]
- AFL: Swans vs. Bombers (2:40AM ET, Sunday)
- La Liga: Villareal vs. Racing Santander (11:00AM ET, Sunday)
- Tennis: Elena Rybakina vs. Taylor Townsend (11:00AM ET, Sunday)
- Tennis: Sara Bejlek vs. Barbora Krejcikova (11:00AM ET, Sunday)
- Tennis: Viktorija Golubic vs. Janice Tjen (11:00AM ET, Sunday)
- Tennis: Casper Ruud vs. Christopher O'Connell (11:00AM ET, Sunday)
- Tennis: Mirra Andreeva vs. Oleksandra Oliynykova (11:00AM ET, Sunday)
- Tennis: Michael Zheng vs. Ugo Humbert (11:00AM ET, Sunday)
- Tennis: Daniil Medvedev vs. Marco Trungelliti (11:00AM ET, Sunday)
- Tennis: Donna Vekic vs. Xinyu Wang (11:00AM ET, Sunday)
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Conclusion
Our best bets are locked and loaded for August 16, 2026, featuring plays such as Swans -10.5 vs. Bombers and Emiliana Arango +7.5 games. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
